Posted by burnsy483 on 9/4/2013 4:31:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 9/4/2013 4:25:00 PM (view original):I got 1.5, but whatever. You've been saying he's a great defender. You're using these stats, but also mention you need 3 years to determine that for sure. Does this sound like a good stat when you've been saying something that could easily be wrong? We were raving about his WAR last year, largely based on defense that could have been giving people the wrong impression about his ability.
Posted by burnsy483 on 9/4/2013 4:19:00 PM (view original):That would give him a three year average of about 3. So he'd be just above league average for a CF.
Mike Trout is a good defender, right? If he puts up a -12.7 UZR next year, is he still a good defender?
I've been saying he's a more valuable defender than Cabrera. He put up one year of great defensive numbers, but even if you regress those 50% (which is what's recommended) you still get an above average CF. But if he goes -13 next year, he's probably just an average defender.
His 2012 WAR was driven primarily by his offense (49 batting runs), then by his defense (13 fielding runs), then by his base running (12 brraa). If it turns out he isn't significantly above average defensively, his 2012 WAR will be a little lower, but not a ton.