Posted by tecwrg on 9/26/2014 4:52:00 PM (view original):
Buddy Bell and Craig Biggio.
Similar career WAR values (Bell's is 1.0 higher in 2500 fewer PA's).
And only the magical 3 points of OPS+ difference between them.
Using your logic, they're similar players.
So if Biggio is a HOFer, why isn't Bell if they're similar players?
Maybe Bell deserves another look since we agree that Biggio should be in the hall.
To start, Biggio has Bell by 2500 plate appearances. That matters. A player's OPS+ goes down when they stretch out their decline phase. Cutting Biggio off at 10,000 PA (as if he retired in 2003) gives him a 117 OPS+. Now the difference is 8.
Biggio was a catcher/middle infielder and Bell was primarily a third baseman. I'm of the opinion that the offensive standards between second and third should be similar, so not a big deal, except for the time behind the plate. We aren't (weren't) really able evaluate catcher defense statistically, so I'm guessing that Biggio's WAR should probably be higher. I'm also not terribly confident in the accuracy of 1970's and 1980's defensive numbers, which contribute to 33% of Bell's WAR.
I'd say that Biggio sits just above my hall of fame cut off line while Bell sits comfortably below it.