Posted by dahsdebater on 3/2/2015 6:05:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 3/2/2015 5:58:00 PM (view original):
Because I think it's retarded to offer one tidbit of info on a player and then ask someone to pick the better player?
Because, as much as I've called you dumb my fair share of times, you're not a ******* moron.
I'm sure you understand on some level the difference between probabilities and absolutes.
Obviously it's not guaranteed that the high-HR player, or the expensive beer, is better. But it's certainly more likely.
I don't think it's more likely that a lower-K player is a better player. I also think this was a fairly silly hypothetical situation for burnsy to have come up with, but it has a point. You're not stupid enough to miss the point. Not sure about tec...
I agree that comparing strikeout rates isn't very likely to produce the best player. After all, the player this centers around struck out a lot and he's pretty good.
But asking to pick the 20 homer or 30 homer player with no other info is just plain *** dumb. As I pointed out with Gwynn/Carew(neither hit 20 in a season) over Kingman/Deer(whiffers of much renown in their era), the MUCH better player may not hit very many homers.