Posted by eflhoca on 2/6/2014 12:44:00 PM (view original):
You don't "try to hit these spreads" as they're basically impossible to cover. There used to be a fake gambling site on WIS where you could bet on the point spreads. It was shut down in part because it was silly and easy to beat when you had uncoverable spreads.
I agree, they are almost impossible to cover. That leads to an interesting question though. What's the largest spread that someone DID cover? Not the largest margin of victory, that's not necessarily the same thing, the largest spread that someone actually covered.
I've won two, maybe three games by 100+ points but the spreads were fairly reasonable in those games. Helps to win like that when you play a human ghost team with a bunch of walk-ons, early in the season, whose players are arguably worse than a bad sim team. It was......ugly. I know a handful of other coaches who have also won by triple digits but unfortunately no way to find out what the spread was in those games.
On the flip side, I may hold a very dubious HD record that no one would ever want to break. I was a 62 point favorite against a sim team and ended up losing by 2 points. I know, I know, I still don't understand it either and it's been about five years now. The real kick in the nuts is that team finished the season at 33-2 and won the National Championship. Easily. Won all 6 tourney games by double digits. Figure THAT one out!