Since the projection report is suppose to be an accurate representation on the tourney selection criteria:
Q: How are the at-large bids determined? What about the seeding?
A: There are in fact two distinct phases that must occur before the National Tournament can begin. The first is the selection process which is used to determine which teams will be receiving the at-large bids to the tournament. Some of the criteria evaluated include:
- Overall RPI
- Non-conference record
- Non-conference RPI
- Conference record
- Conference RPI
- Road record
- Record in last 10 games
- Record against teams ranked 1-50 by RPI
- Record against teams ranked 51-100 by RPI
- Record against teams ranked 101-200 by RPI
- Record against teams ranked below 200 by RPI
For most empty mid-majors, the issue typically revolves around that most conference games involve SIMs which have poor RPI and/or SOS which typically drags down resumes which is what I think is the problem in your case (having most of your wins involving teams with 200+ RPIs and not enough ones below 100 RPI).