I just looked at the Tark Projection Report (D3). With 1 conference game to go, I'm sitting in 9th place, which seems reasonable. What gets me is the team immediately above me. My team
is ranked 6th, RPI 7. Wooster
is ranked 21, RPI 15. I can understand how this has happened. Wooster has a lot of "solid" wins against opponents in the RPI 25-50 range, which I have to assume is bolstering their PR ranking. But I thought the new system was supposed to reward quality wins. As I said, Wooster's wins are solid. But they aren't great. Their best win was against RPI #21 at home; their best road win was against RPI #36, and they have no other top 25 RPI victories (they do have 5 losses against the top 25, and do have another shot to pick up a 2nd win in the final game this PM). Their worst loss was at home against RPI #45, but to be fair this was their only loss outside the top 25 (19-6 overall).
Methodist, on the other hand, is 23-2. Our worst loss was against RPI #33 at home by one point; our other loss was on the road at RPI #1 by 11. We have wins against RPIs #6, 6, 11 (road), and 14 (road). Again, I'm sure the reason they're ahead of us is because of the RPI 25-50 wins, of which I have only 1. And I certainly don't mean to disparage warshot, who has had a solid season and did a great job of scheduling. To be honest, if I'd known we'd have 5 sims in the conference this season I would have scheduled at least a slightly tougher non-con schedule. We're still the #2 conference in Tark D3, but I was counting on an even stronger season of conference games when I scheduled. All the same, this seems like a failure of the system to me. I have 4 wins that are far better than any of his and he has more and worse losses than I do. His net SOS is better, but my RPI is still higher. Again, my fault for not scheduling better. Ideally I would have liked a high 2-seed this year since my team isn't really good enough to beat any 1 seeds, or many other 2- and 3-seeds, and I could use a little scheduling help in the postseason to make a deepish run. All the same, does this feel weird to anyone else?