Posted by hughesjr on 3/8/2015 6:57:00 AM (view original):
Your distro is plays RUN for a player to shoot, not shoots taken. Most of the time it equates to the same thing, but not all of the time.
He is playing Man2Man, so even at -5, guys get guarded individually. Maybe in a zone, the guards are bunch up and close to the basket .. but in Man2Man they still guard their individual man.
Lachance has a -15 SPD differential and a -19 ATH differential against Kovacs .. and Kovacs is an A- defender, with 77 DEF. -5 or not, there is no way that Lachance gets open to take 3 point shots. If Kovacs is not double teaming, then Kovacs is still matching up against Lachance .. just playing off him to take away the inside. But with A- DIQ, 77 DEF, and double digit advantages in SPD and ATH, Kovacs is still able to keep Lachance from getting open. So you are running plays for Lachance, but he is defended and the shot goes elsewhere even if the play was RUN for Lachance. Lachance should be able to shoot against the backup SG, but even there the SG has a double digit speed advantage against Lachance (though they are the same ATH and the backup has a B+ DIQ and only 60 DEF).
If you set Wendell Horn to shoot 3's .. Dwanye Smith has +41 SPD advantage against him and Smith is a perimeter defender with a A- IQ and 64 DEF. Horn does have a huge ATH advantage against Smith and might be able to post up Smith, but likely can't get up to shoot a 3 against him. That is why, even if you had Horn set to shoot 3's, since he could not get open there, he instead shot more 2's against Smith. The LOOKED for 3's, had plays run to take them, but were not open.
I respect your opinion, but I disagree with the state "there is no way Lachance gets open to take 3 point shots."
I think you are giving way too much credit to what I see as a relatively small difference in ratings between Kovacs and Lachance in the areas you mention. Even IF those ratings make the huge difference you seem to think they would, even good defenders lose their man sometimes. This happens MUCH more frequently if the defender is "playing off of him to take away the inside" - or at least, it should happen much more frequently. You can't logically play your man tight if you're playing off him to take away the inside.
I don't care if the guy had 99 ratings in spd and ath, if you play off your man, that man should be getting open fairly frequently. Otherwise, the settings have no downside and therefore no meaning.
First, I don't buy that the threes weren't open enough to even shoot more than ten. If only ten shots were open enough to take from behind the arc all game despite those settings, then the settings are meaningless. You can run -5 all you want and it doesn't matter, you can still shut down your opponent from beyond the arc provided you have a modest edge in a few key ratings in the man to man. That's ridiculous.
Second, if my settings of +2 and high distro for my three point shooters only mean they will "look" for shots and doesn't mean they will take them, then that setting is equally meaningless. If I set it like that, I want the guy taking a ton of threes, no matter what. I don't want him looking around and somehow not obeying the settings because he thinks he isn't open enough to even shoot.
If the computer is going to decide how many guys shoot threes for me, I might as well not even coach at all.