This IFA stumps me Topic

I have a big IFA budget, I'll probably end up having to drop 15-20 Mil for him... but is he worth it? I'm about 30 games into the season, so still time to sign someone better.

What stumps me is, his fielding, he's not really a 2B, he'll probably end up playing LF.

His speed is great but base running not so much.

Oh, and his health and durability sucks

And not really a power hitter... here are his ratings:

2B - 18 Yrs old

General & Fielding Ratings
Event Season Height Weight OV RA GL AS AA PC DU HE SP PA TP MK
Current - 5-9 167 60 70 46 48 46 9 51 65 100 51 50 77
Projected - 5-9 191 90 79 62 64 64 9 90 76 100 80 47 87

Batting & Pitching Ratings
Current - 80 48 81 65 63 47 52 41 20 1 5 6 3 34 44 0 0 0 0
Projected - 100 52 96 82 72 59 71 47 29 3 11 11 3 40 50 0 0 0 0

5/23/2011 7:36 PM
No. Is he a major leaguer? Yes.

One injury, or if he underdevelops, he's a fringe major leaguer.
5/23/2011 8:45 PM
my first 2 questions would be what does he hit (L, R, S) and what is your INT scouting?
5/23/2011 8:56 PM
He's already an ML quality hitter at 18 (not great, but can hit well enough, and will only develop from there, regardless of what his true projections are).  I know a lot of people that would have no qualms about playing him at 2B... I am starting to lean that way as well (to the POV that 2B defense is not all that important... and a 75 R 60 Glove guy is fine there).  I don't see a problem with high 80's durability and high 60's to low 70's health.  I would place little value on his speed with that baserunning, though.
In short, I would have no problem spending 15-20 mill on that guy in any of my worlds.
5/23/2011 9:14 PM
Bats/Throws R/R, 16 Mil in IFA scouting... I have a 38 Mil prospect budget
5/23/2011 9:21 PM
Hmmm... 3B with an OBP of .400?  I'll take two.  I'd go for it.
5/23/2011 9:41 PM
Thats a good point didn't even see that. I could play him at SS/3B in the minors and hope his defensive ratings end up at about 75/60/60/60

He good be a great utility guy

5/23/2011 9:55 PM
To me he looks like a solid COF, who might end up with a .400 OBP and .850 OPS.  I have a catcher ( who has somewhat similar numbers (flip BE and CON) and puts up good stats as an everyday player and monster stats as a platoon.  And he's as slow as the Mexican tax system...add speed to that and I think you have a really solid player.  Your prospect's health line is not that bad, though I would bet his STAM tops out around 75-80.  I would have no qualms about spending 15-20mil on him.
5/23/2011 10:21 PM
Spend the money. That guy will be a great #1 or #2 hitter and would also be a potential gold glover in LF. You could on the other hand play him everyday but move him around the diamond to give other guys rest. I do this on one of my teams for a guy in a similar situation defensively who owns a monster bat and it has worked out wonderfully.
5/23/2011 11:41 PM
Hold on...

You have a 38 M prospect budget. That means, at best, you've transferred 18 M, meaning you've f'd away 18M transferring that amount. Goodbye 10% of this seasons total budget.

Now, you're thinking about f'ing away another 10%...for a total of 20%,,,on a dude, that is a negative play fielder anywhere but the COF, and if he does get .850 OPS, most of it is coming one base at a time.

Put down the crack pipe.
5/23/2011 11:44 PM
5/23/2011 11:52 PM
I'd rather use the extra 36 million player payroll budget I had on prospects rather than aged free agents, when I have no chance of making the playoffs this year
5/23/2011 11:56 PM
On. The. Bong.

You had no chance of making the playoff when you f'd away 10% of your budget on air. Before that, you had a chance.
5/23/2011 11:57 PM
Avoiding double plays is a value raw speed has that not everybody thinks of.
I'd think of him as more of an 85OVR than 90, but he's definitly worth 15mil.
5/24/2011 2:15 AM

Closest comp for his projections that I can think of is Hardball Dynasty – Fantasy Baseball Sim Games - Player Profile: Vin Hart.

Hart has similar splits, lower contact, more power, is somewhat slower, but is a better baserunner.  I suspect that the contact/power differences will largely cancel each other out in terms of value.

Assuming that your guy develops well, I'd say that slash stats of 320/400/450 are not unreasonable. His speed will largely offset his less than optimal baserunning to the extent that his basestealing will probably border on the irrelevant with a 65-70% success rate. He may also surprise you with 20-25 HRs a year - his high contact and splits means that he's going to be putting a lot of hard hit balls in play. Even without a lot of raw power, some of them are going to land on the other side of the fence.

5/24/2011 8:11 AM
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