Celtics 2011-2012 thread Topic

Posted by moranis on 3/7/2012 12:26:00 PM (view original):
Posted by deanod on 3/7/2012 11:50:00 AM (view original):
Yeah sure Pau's on the decline but I'd still take him at ages 31-34 over Rondo at ages 25-28.  I do not not not want to re-sign Rondo for ages 29-33, he's going to age very poorly and will be nowhere near worth what he's making now- some dumb team is going to pay him for what he did from 24-28 instead of what he will do and thankfully I'm confident it won't be Ainge who makes that mistake.

And no, it obviously doesn't make us faves but it does make us a threat vs anyone.  And it's not that hard to just add a vet like Jamal Crawford to help pad the loss of Rondo on the decline.

Rondo has had some big games in the playoffs, but other than the Cleveland series in 2010 which was sick, sick, sick  I don't think he's been better than he normally is in the regular season.  He goes into triple double mode but also sees a pretty sizeable drop in his shooting %'s against quality D's (career 51.6 TS in the reg season 48.2 in the playoffs).

Rondo is all 1st team defense but that's based on a reputation that he no longer really plays up to.  Kyle Lowry really should have been the 1st team all defense selection last year.
I think any Gasol for Rondo trade will look something like this.

Gasol, Blake

for

Rondo, Bass, O'neal

Thus the Celtics would end up with Blake for about 24 minutes a game at the point and they could probably get by with Blake and Bradley, though could probably land someone like Sessions for one of the firsts if it was really a problem.  The reality is, a PG isn't really all that critical to winning a title.  Aside from Magic, Isiah, and Cousy none of the all time greats at the position won a title in their prime.  Heck rarely does a PG make an all star team and win (or even make) the finals in that season (at least anymore).  Now it appears it may be shifting slightly with players like Rose, Westbrook, Paul, etc., being on teams that could get to the finals, but the odds on favorites don't exactly have a great PG, last years winner had an ancient HOFer at the position, so perhaps the trend isn't even changing.
or we could just let the lakers keep blake and his retarded LT deal and flip JO+ for another PG who's not god awful.
3/7/2012 12:30 PM
I'm guessing if anyone on that list was the 4th best player on their team, they'd have been to a few Finals by now...
3/7/2012 12:32 PM
Posted by AlCheez on 3/7/2012 12:32:00 PM (view original):
I'm guessing if anyone on that list was the 4th best player on their team, they'd have been to a few Finals by now...
badja's PG power rankings

1. Tony Parker
2. Rondo
3. Jason Kidd
4. Derek Fisher
5. Jameer Nelson
6. Mario Chalmers
7. Chris Paul
8. Derrick Rose
3/7/2012 12:44 PM
Posted by deanod on 3/7/2012 12:30:00 PM (view original):
Posted by moranis on 3/7/2012 12:26:00 PM (view original):
Posted by deanod on 3/7/2012 11:50:00 AM (view original):
Yeah sure Pau's on the decline but I'd still take him at ages 31-34 over Rondo at ages 25-28.  I do not not not want to re-sign Rondo for ages 29-33, he's going to age very poorly and will be nowhere near worth what he's making now- some dumb team is going to pay him for what he did from 24-28 instead of what he will do and thankfully I'm confident it won't be Ainge who makes that mistake.

And no, it obviously doesn't make us faves but it does make us a threat vs anyone.  And it's not that hard to just add a vet like Jamal Crawford to help pad the loss of Rondo on the decline.

Rondo has had some big games in the playoffs, but other than the Cleveland series in 2010 which was sick, sick, sick  I don't think he's been better than he normally is in the regular season.  He goes into triple double mode but also sees a pretty sizeable drop in his shooting %'s against quality D's (career 51.6 TS in the reg season 48.2 in the playoffs).

Rondo is all 1st team defense but that's based on a reputation that he no longer really plays up to.  Kyle Lowry really should have been the 1st team all defense selection last year.
I think any Gasol for Rondo trade will look something like this.

Gasol, Blake

for

Rondo, Bass, O'neal

Thus the Celtics would end up with Blake for about 24 minutes a game at the point and they could probably get by with Blake and Bradley, though could probably land someone like Sessions for one of the firsts if it was really a problem.  The reality is, a PG isn't really all that critical to winning a title.  Aside from Magic, Isiah, and Cousy none of the all time greats at the position won a title in their prime.  Heck rarely does a PG make an all star team and win (or even make) the finals in that season (at least anymore).  Now it appears it may be shifting slightly with players like Rose, Westbrook, Paul, etc., being on teams that could get to the finals, but the odds on favorites don't exactly have a great PG, last years winner had an ancient HOFer at the position, so perhaps the trend isn't even changing.
or we could just let the lakers keep blake and his retarded LT deal and flip JO+ for another PG who's not god awful.
maybe, but I think they want the salary relief.
3/7/2012 1:48 PM
I'm sure they do, but I'd rather live in a world where that's not part of a Pau deal.  Lakers have plenty of scrill anyway, they'll get over having Blake on the books.  OTOH the Celtics probably prefer not to take the $4M hit on their cap next year.
3/7/2012 2:51 PM
Posted by deanod on 3/7/2012 2:51:00 PM (view original):
I'm sure they do, but I'd rather live in a world where that's not part of a Pau deal.  Lakers have plenty of scrill anyway, they'll get over having Blake on the books.  OTOH the Celtics probably prefer not to take the $4M hit on their cap next year.
Sure, but with Gasol instead of Rondo, there isn't a ton of cap room anyway.
3/7/2012 3:00 PM

eh, Gasol cuts into a good chunk of it but when you have a roster of just Pierce/Gasol/young guys, the difference between $14M and $10M is pretty substantial.  They'd need to stretch it as far as they can, and taking on Blake cuts pretty heavily into the appeal of such a move.

3/7/2012 4:04 PM
Posted by deanod on 3/7/2012 4:05:00 PM (view original):

eh, Gasol cuts into a good chunk of it but when you have a roster of just Pierce/Gasol/young guys, the difference between $14M and $10M is pretty substantial.  They'd need to stretch it as far as they can, and taking on Blake cuts pretty heavily into the appeal of such a move.

It does, but how much worse is Blake + 1st then say Sessions (at 4.5 million) or Crawford (at 5.2 million).
3/7/2012 4:41 PM
Like a trillion miles worse.

Sessions and Crawford both gonna opt out in all likelihood anyway while Blake has 2 guaranteed years left.  And even if they don't opt out, at least they're both decent rotation players whereas Blake should be a DNP-CD for pretty much any playoff team.
3/7/2012 4:48 PM
Don't really understand the 'PG isn't critical anymore' argument. I'm curious to what the most 'critical' position on the floor is....Miami and OKC are probably the favorites to reach the Finals this year, both are weakest at the 5.

Clippers are instantly in the playoffs with Paul, and with a better PG than the corpse of Derek Fisher, the Lakers are still favorites in the West.
The best 'teams' are going to win, I don't think there has been a paradigm shift in 'critical positions'
3/7/2012 5:44 PM
The most important position is obviously center.

As far as PG's go, as long as you have somebody on the floor who can drive and kick you'll be alright.  We saw Paul Pierce thrive running the PnR and pick and pop when Rondo was out, so I think we'd be OK without Rondo esp considering that KG + Pau are pretty good passers for big men.
3/7/2012 5:52 PM
Well, agree to disagree I guess
3/7/2012 6:49 PM
I think this is relevant:

Gold Medal Superstar Theory

I'm not completely sold on it, but it does bring up a good point.  The only team I can think of in the last 50 years of the league that has won a title without at least a bronze medal or silver medal superstar is the '04 Pistons.  They're the exception rather than the rule.

I do actually believe that the PG being the best player on a team hurts the team, however.  Look at Chicago in the playoffs last year, for example.  The Heat shut him down and nobody else was able to pick up the slack.  If you look at championship teams where the PG was the possibly the best player on the team... you have the 80s Lakers & the 80s Pistons, and that's it.  Magic had Kareem, another gold medal superstar, and Worthy (a silver or bronze, if I recall) on the squad, too - both of whom could generate their own offense.  The Pistons had many guys on their squad who could generate their own offense (Dumars, Microwave, Aguire, etc).

Does that mean anything in particular?  No.  The two aren't mutually exclusive; a team with their best player as PG can win it all.  I do find it odd, however.  Of course, Rondo isn't going to be the best player on any team (unless the team is trash), so that's not really an issue there.
3/7/2012 8:14 PM
Problem is that dominant point guards are extremely rare.  CP3 has been the most dominant point guard in my life as a fan, and he still pales in comparison to LeBron, Shaq, Jordan, etc.

Also BSBoi- your Fish/CP3 point doesn't really establish the importance of a PG since Fish is terrible at everything and Chris Paul is great at everything.  Obviously Avery Bradley is a very weak link as a starting PG but at least he plays D.  Not so great for this Celtic team since their offense is woeful, but if they made that move in conjunction with a Crawford or Sessions pickup that would work out really well for them imo.
3/7/2012 10:17 PM
In summary, deanod's recipe for improving a team that went to the Finals twice is to:

remove the 2 youngest starters, keep the geezers, and....add more geezers and guys that can't shoot or even pass (why the hell would you want Steve Blake?)

Again, it really doesn't matter.  You're not beating MIA or OKC no matter what.

GL.
3/8/2012 7:34 PM
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