i think longshots are better than 1/100, maybe 1/20 to 1/40 or so. but anyway, if you ARENT rejected immediately, i think that has NOTHING to do with who else applied - and EVERYTHING to do with if you are eligible. i think you have a pretty good chance of getting the job at this point *if someone better doesnt apply*. i mean, you might have a 100% chance of getting it if nobody else applies, but im not sure about that.