I think vance's will probably be the easiest. Depends some on nate's squad, which I ranked down in the middle of the pack because I think it's a wildcard that could be sneaky good or pretty bad.
I would like gin's division a lot, except I really wanted to avoid leibo's squad.
I'm not that sold on my 1st two picks, honestly - after the top 3 I didn't think there were any really bad looking teams. But I don't think there are any great teams in my division, was very happy w/ who I got later on (we'll see if that feeling is misplaced, haha)