Posted by pb15 on 1/31/2013 12:56:00 AM (view original):
Posted by dedelman on 1/30/2013 10:26:00 PM (view original):"The sim determines that there has been a single, and then makes it an infield single if the player is fast. "
tec-- if you look more closely at those players-- their batting average over a career is about what you would expect from their contact and splits. The sim determines that there has been a single, and then makes it an infield single if the player is fast. So the correlation exists but doesn't make the player better.
How do you know this is true?
Reasonable question. What I did was identify the players with the most career infield hits-- of course, they had a ton of speed. Then, I identified players with the most similar contact/splits (and when I could, eye and power) that were slow and/or had few infield hits. The career batting averages-- and I did 15-20 pairs of players-- were essentially identical, within a reasonable margin of error (10-20 points), and certainly not different by what the number of infield hits involved would change the batting average by.