Probability of College Ps Attaining Projections Topic

TXLnghrn
Posts: 41 (0)
Hall of Famer
37 1 1 182
Prospect
How likely is it that college pitcher draftees will reach their projections? Obviously, they have less time to do so than high school guys (but they start more developed), but I wonder if there's been any real or anecdotal study on this. I've got the #2 pick in my draft coming up and this will impact my pick.

Thankya
2/15/2013 6:51 AM
TXLnghrn
Posts: 41 (0)
Hall of Famer
37 1 1 182
Prospect
The college guy, 22 y/o RH
Current
-
6-3
191
66
0
43
18
52
40
32
79
44
61
42
66
Projected
-
6-3
204
88
1
62
22
73
55
33
91
45
73
42
68
 
Batting & Pitching Ratings
Event
Season
CN
PW
LH
RH
BE
BR
BU
PP
ST
CT
LH
RH
VE
GB
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
Current
-
18
4
32
15
23
17
46
73
79
62
55
68
31
67
70
69
47
27
0
Projected
-
25
4
45
18
24
24
66
80
81
91
78
95
37
78
81
75
67
37
0
2/15/2013 7:06 AM
TXLnghrn
Posts: 41 (0)
Hall of Famer
37 1 1 182
Prospect
The high school guy, 18 y/o LH

Event
Season
Height
Weight
OV
RA
GL
AS
AA
PC
DU
HE
SP
PA
TP
MK
Current
-
6-3
202
57
58
15
55
30
6
26
92
42
38
68
72
Projected
-
6-4
217
90
69
25
66
48
10
32
99
43
54
68
78
 
Batting & Pitching Ratings
Event
Season
CN
PW
LH
RH
BE
BR
BU
PP
ST
CT
LH
RH
VE
GB
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
Current
-
7
7
11
20
15
14
53
58
58
52
51
50
76
64
68
67
45
34
0
Projected
-
10
7
18
33
17
23
91
62
76
82
93
86
91
83
85
83
73
53
0
2/15/2013 7:10 AM
maxdeardorff
Posts: 265 (0)
Hall of Famer
1 26 121
Prospect
College guys tend to grow a maximum 10-15 points in the pertinent categories, regardless of what their projections say.  High schoolers are usually able to grow 20-25 points.  Without knowing how much you have invested in HS and Coll. scouting, I would guess the 18 y/o will be the better player.  I would expect him to end up with mid 70s control, and LH/RH in the low 70s, with four solid pitches.  He looks like a reliable SP2 to me.  The 22 y/o's control and splits will be similar, but his pitches won't be as good.  I'd project him as a SP3/SP4...but he should be ready for the ML in one year, if that matters...
2/15/2013 9:24 AM
Probability of College Ps Attaining Projections Topic
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