"My Life As A Tranny" by MikeT23 Topic

I would consider that...
3/19/2013 1:34 AM
Kid is STILL hitting.
3/20/2013 11:17 AM
Posted by 05nomar05 on 3/20/2013 11:17:00 AM (view original):
Kid is STILL hitting.
He's the greatest Jackie since THIS guy.....

3/20/2013 7:07 PM
We doing that Boston vs. Baltimore thing?
3/20/2013 7:52 PM
Posted by dahsdebater on 3/20/2013 7:52:00 PM (view original):
We doing that Boston vs. Baltimore thing?
3/20/2013 8:37 PM
$10 GC?
3/21/2013 6:00 AM
Posted by dahsdebater on 3/21/2013 6:00:00 AM (view original):
$10 GC?
$12.95 work for you brotha?
3/21/2013 8:52 PM
3/21/2013 9:27 PM
Posted by arvidjosef on 3/21/2013 8:52:00 PM (view original):
Posted by dahsdebater on 3/21/2013 6:00:00 AM (view original):
$10 GC?
$12.95 work for you brotha?
Sure, same thing...
3/21/2013 10:56 PM
Easiest money dahs ever made
3/22/2013 1:04 PM
I love the overconfidence of the Orioles fans.  FWIW, Vegas likes the Sox in this bet.
3/22/2013 1:35 PM
That's because Vegas makes lines based on what people are going to bet, not on the actual "smartest" projections.  Boston has a huge and over-confident fan base that are going to bet the over on that team until it's well above a credible over, and the smarter bettors who actually are in it to make money can only counterbalance that so far.  If I were going to try to set reasonable over/under numbers from an objective standpoint, I'd give Baltimore about a 79.5 and Boston about a 72.
3/22/2013 5:21 PM

Vegas has a lot of big buildings right out there in the middle of the desert. 

Of course they need to set lines where people will bet but, if there's something outrageous out there, they won't be able to build more big buildings in the desert.

To put it another way, Baltimore had a fantastic year.   However, their record in close games was amazing.  THAT won't happen again.   And THAT'S what's driving the lines not dumbass Red Sux fans.

3/22/2013 5:38 PM
I picked the O's to finish 3rd...how does that = overconfidence?

Few people - if anyone - outside of Boston think the Red Sox will finish anywhere but last in the AL East this season. Though it doesn't hurt that the O's were like 49-1 against the Sux last season.
3/22/2013 5:57 PM
Many people think the Orioles will finish last. Hence, the Vegas over unders.

3/22/2013 6:57 PM
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"My Life As A Tranny" by MikeT23 Topic

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