Will He Be Any Good? Topic

Paul Figueroa (20) is currently in his first full season. I'm not sure how much a terrible velocity AND gb/fb ratio will impact him if everything else seems to be good.  I don't know how to post the player text link here so this is what I see with 10 mil in adv.

                              Stamina  Control   VL   VR   Vel  GB/FB    1      2      3     4     5
Season Start          54           73         56   60     17        3       65  64    37   46   30
Cur                           54           81         63   67     17        3       69  68    41   51   34
Proj                          77          100        87   91     21        2       69  72    54   63   34  
4/10/2013 9:00 AM
10m ADV is not going to give you much in terms of accuracy of projections.  Folloiwing the advancement of his ratings and projecting those out yourself will give you a much better picture, though since he's only in his first full season you don't have a lot to go on.  Still, he's +8 in control, +7 in each of his splits, and +4, +4, +4, +5 amd +4 in his pitches.  That's good advancement.

Low velocity is not that much of a concern.  It just means less strikeouts and more balls put in play.  It's a secondary rating, a "nice to have" but not a critical rating.

I'd be more concerned about the extremely low GB/FB rating.  I'd want him to pitch in a -4 HR park, because he's going to be giving up a lot of long fly balls.
4/10/2013 9:15 AM
Those are really dangerous Vel, GB/FB numbers, but the rest of his skill set is pretty solid.  If it weren't for those two indicators, I would say he's a SP1/SP2.  But because of them, I'd guess he'll likely end up more an SP4 type.  I would expect an ERA in the low 4's.
4/10/2013 12:38 PM
Will He Be Any Good? Topic

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