Here is my vision for this season:
I win the division because my team actually matches up fairly well against sly and dh when compared to other teams.
These are best case assumptions, not what I really expect per se, but this would be the way the season would unfold if I were able to control destiny.
Sly’s solid D on the perimeter isn’t enough to stop my team from raining down threes because he lacks any 90D elite defenders in the backcourt. The fact that sly’s pf/rate is off the chart higher than mine becomes a critical factor as Daugherty and his high draw rate lives at the line during our matchups and Sly’s fouling machines of Gadzuric and Stat can’t even get their allocated minutes against me. Chandler shuts down Superman and destroys the 53D and 55D players that guard him by taking 8-10 shots a game and making 70%+. West fully exploits the ave foul rate of Harper and high foul rate of Tinsley and gets to the line 10-12 times a game, while Deron Williams lights up the 60D of Porter and Rodman completely neutralizes any advantages that D. Marshall brings, plus Korver saves a number of those 7 for 10 from long range games just for sly.
Durant struggles against the 90D of West and overshoots the ball thus landing him in the individual penalty more than would be expected. The high foul rates of Noah and Okafor create the same issues for dh as sly and my high draw rate high % FTA guys virtually live at the line. And my super-high efg frontcourt fully exploits the non-elite and slightly below average defending bigs for dh, my team has a home efg around 60% and road around 57% against dh and I take 6 of 8 as Korver shows why he is a future 3rd rounder in this league.
After wrapping up the division title and the bye I am fortunate enough to defeat ash because of my home court advantage. Then Tar awaits in yet another playoff matchup and it’s actually my turn to beat him again as we go another epic 7-game set.
In the finals Vance awaits, and my team steamrolls his *** in four by putting up over 130 ppg.
Yep, If I could pick exactly how this season goes, the above would be it.