Someone is going to spend a ton of money on him, likely after a bidding war, and I think that's going to cause him to be very overpaid for someone with that mediocre control.
Personally, I also look at control, velocity and gb/fb together, and I like at least 2 of those 3 ratings to hit at least 70. And that's not going to be the case with this guy.
His splits will be good, to the point where I'd bid on him. But once the bidding gets above $10 - $12 million, I'd bow out.