Posted by laramiebob on 4/1/2014 1:03:00 PM (view original):
That's a very plausible explanation. Backed by good evidence. I didn't realize that my 23 opponents had such inflated walks taken at the plate.
My resulting question would then be why should/does? "the batter influences the PA more than the pitcher," as you stated.
Seems to me that no real advantage should be inherent in the SIM algorithum---as it relates to the very most basic of "matchups"----that of hitter vs. Pitcher.
On what basis do you contend that the SIM favors batter influence over pitcher's R/L result---and WHY would the SIM want to do that??
That would seem to intentionally and purposefully alter performances in a very unrealistic fashion. Giving inflated hitting results. Does that happen here?
1. The batter has more control on the outcome of the at bat then the pitcher. I think it is a 55/45 split. I don't know if why was ever stated but that is what it is.
2. At least for walks, batters do historical drive the cart. Jfranco did some extensive research on this awhile back. In a Nut shell guys that walk, walk even against pitchers who don't walk people.
3. Offense is inflated in the SIM. Chicks dig the long ball.
4. Your pitching staff isn't nearly good enough for a 140 cap league. At that level your whips should all be under 1. Most under .95.