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I agree with the comp pick next season

Posted by mchalesarmy on 6/10/2014 1:52:00 PM (view original):
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Billy Beane just threw a chair thru the wall

#3.  I don't like 1 at all; I've never had luck with low power, bad eye hitters, plus his poor makeup rating makes it less likely he'll hit his lofty projections.  I like 2, but pitching rates a premium.  Rank them 3 then 2 and be happy with either one.

I agree with psychoch on #1 regarding his poor eye and makeup. To me the poor eye is more of a dealbreaker than poor contact, so I like #2 better.

About #2, I think his projection of 90 vR looks like a bit of a reach. However, he's really only got the one poor rating. I think the risk with him is that he might be a good but never great hitter, which could disappoint.

#3 has IMO a better shot at possibly being a stud. And my thinking is that at the top of the draft you want the player with the highest floor. Worst case, a good but not great SP is better to have than a good but not great position player.

This is a no brainer.

#3 gives you 2.5 era and 200 innings. He will win a cy young

I just realized you have the second pick. That sucks. Personally, I would go 3, 2, 4.

2 and 4 are a coin flip. I value position players higher than pitchers, especially young ones. You can almost always find a decent, cheap, 34+ year old starting pitcher. Position players with power are almost always done being major contributors at 32.

The draft was this morning.  Otpion 2 went 1st.  With the 2nd pick I took option 3.  Option 5 went 4th,  Option 4 went 11th and Option 1 was taken 13th overall.   

Assuming scouting was accurate, congratulations. You get the best player.

I know I was the only one who liked #1, but I think the team that drafted him 13th got a great deal. He looks like he could be your world's all time leader in stolen bases and a Gold Glove winner.

I liked #1,  I almost picked him over #3.  But in the end I ranked #3 1st and #1 2nd.  I would have been okay with either.  

This guy Hardball Dynasty – Fantasy Baseball Sim Games - Player Profile: Julian Goya had ratings very similar to #1.  He was a stud for years.

How can you possibly call them very similar? That guy had twice the eye and three times the power. Not even remotely similar.

Question: does anyone know how much power affects batting average at the low end of the scale? I understand that a guy with a power of 90 will have a higher average than a guy at 70, because a lot of his fly balls will leave the park or go for doubles. But does the same thing happen at the low end?

I would expect a guy with 40 power like Mr. Goya to hit about 10 homers per year, while a guy with 20 power (like example number 1) wouldn't hit more than 5. But would Goya's power make him a better average hitter than Bachelor #1?