Opinions on a Pitching Prospect Topic

dedelman
Posts: 2184 (0)
Hall of Famer
280 190
Pro
This is a 21 year-old college prospect that I ranked number 1 but who did not fall to me as he went second in the draft.  He's an ace in most ways-- but has relatively terrible pitches:

  Dur St Con VsL VsR Ve GB P1 P2 P3 P4 P5
Current 33 64 69 78 78 46 39 63 63 23 0 0
Projected 37 74 88 93 100 51 42 72 77 32 0 0


Does anybody have experience with a pitcher with fantastic con/vsL/vsR but below average pitches?  What would you predict for this guy?

6/10/2014 2:15 PM
mchalesarmy
Posts: 1123 (0)
Veteran
20
Prospect
The higher the splits (particularly 90+) the less important P1-5 is, especially when combined with a high control rating.
6/10/2014 2:18 PM
frankum
Posts: 197 (0)
Hall of Famer
17 17 60
Prospect
He will still be very good.  I don't have time to go find you a reference, but if he develops and gets those first two pitches into the 70's, you'll have some monster years out of him.  But those pitches need to be in the 70s.
6/10/2014 3:44 PM
MikeT23
Posts: 58012 (0)
Hall of Famer
87 1 47 1 189
Prospect
Hardball Dynasty – Fantasy Baseball Sim Games - Player Profile: Homer Phillips came to mind because of weak pitches and "odd" splits.   His ratings aren't nearly as good as the guy you mention.   And he had some very good years.
6/10/2014 3:54 PM
deathinahole
Posts: 4139 (0)
Hall of Famer
76 2 1 42 1 72
Prospect
Hardball Dynasty – Fantasy Baseball Sim Games - Player Profile: Julio Bonifacio.

The most extreme example I can think of.
6/10/2014 4:05 PM
mongoose_22
Posts: 597 (0)
Hall of Famer
3 5 124
Prospect
http://whatifsports.com/HBD/Pages/Popups/PlayerProfile.aspx?pid=3137406

Great control and splits... Both P1 andP2 were below 70 throughout his career.

'Ol Vic did just fine.
6/10/2014 4:09 PM
burnsy483
Posts: 6848 (0)
Veteran
1 1 26
Prospect
I think having 5 pitches helped him...but this guy did very well:

 Hardball Dynasty – Fantasy Baseball Sim Games - Player Profile: Christian Grim
6/10/2014 4:37 PM
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