Posted by chargingryno on 7/11/2014 11:33:00 PM (view original):
Posted by zubinsum on 7/11/2014 12:48:00 AM (view original):I've never really used a Coors team, but wouldn't you want a pitcher with high K-rates in Coors? Coors isn't just +HR, but +1B/2B/3B as well, wouldn't a low-K pitcher cause more balls to be put into play, thus more balls having the chance of becoming a hit?
It's not about the hitting, it is about the pitching at Coors. Draft pitchers with low K-rates and a middle infield that will convert ground balls into double plays.
Yes low-K pitcher see more balls put in play. However, because the decision tree used by WIS, determines an out before the type of out, more balls in-play do hot result in more hits, unless your defense makes a minus play.
Here is an outline of the decision tree:
Is there an unusual event (passed ball, wild pitch, stolen base, caught stealing or sacrifice hit) or is it a normal PA?
If it is a normal PA, is the batter hit by a pitch (HBP)?
If there is no HBP, is the a base on balls (BB)?
If it is an AB (no BB), is it a hit or an out?*
*If the AB is a hit, is the hit a home run (HR)?
If the AB is a hit in play (not a HR), is there a plus play (an exceptional defensive play to take a hit or base away)?
If there is no plus play, is the hit a 1B, 2B, or 3B?
*If the AB is an out, is the out a strike out (K) or out-in-play?
If the AB is an out-in-play, is there an error, minus play (poor defensive play) or a regular out?