North Coast: King of Conferences Topic

timjmiller
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This is some great stuff ukula!
4/16/2015 4:49 PM
indyrider123
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Very good ukula...shows me how average my team is this season.
4/16/2015 9:00 PM
piratesfan23
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from what i could see woods and giglio are the only 2 on all three of the list- they should be 1-2 for player of the year in the conference.
4/18/2015 11:43 PM
ukula
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Conference Tournament Odds
Wooster   3-1
Ohio Wesleyan   3-1
Wittenberg   8-1
Earlham 10-1
Grove City 10-1
Denison 10-1
Wabash 25-1
Thiel 40-1
   
   
Postseason Outlook  
by Simmy Simkins  
   
Wooster  
NT bid Locked up, most likely a 2 or 3 seed.  
   
Ohio Wesleyan  
NT bid Locked up, most likely a 4 seed but could go   
as high as a 2 seed.  Co-favorite to win CT, split season  
series with Wooster.
   
Wittenberg  
NT bid Locked up, but are currently looking at either an  
8 or 9 seed, which means they'll play the 1 seed in  
Round 2.  Need to have a good showing in the CT  
to move up to a 6 or 7 seed.  
   
Earlham  
Currently #55 on the projection report and looking at a PI bid.  Need a   
win against Wittenberg in the first round to have any chance at
The NT.  Dangerous team, during regular season they beat Wittenberg by 23,
and had two very close games against Wooster and Ohio Wesleyan.
   
Grove City  
Currently #56 on the projection report and looking at a PI bid.  They
have a tough matchup against Denison in the first round of the CT.  The  
winner keeps their NT hopes alive while the loser goes to the PI.  Lost to
Denison by 1 during regular season.
   
Denison  
Currently #57 on the projection report and looking at a PI bid.  They  
have a tough matchup against Grove City in the first round of the CT.
The winner  keeps their NT hopes alive while the loser goes to the PI.  
Beat Grove City by 1 during regular season.
   
Wabash  
Currently rated #73 on the projection report.  They most likely  
need to win the CT to get to the big dance, otherwise they  
are locked into the PI.  
   
Thiel  
Currently ranked #88 on the projection report and on the very fringe  
of a PI bid.  A win against Ohio Wesleyan would remove any doubt.
Need to win CT for an NT bid.
5/5/2015 9:20 AM
zorzii
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Nice work Ukula. I was hoping not to face Wittenberg again, my nemesis. I guess I won't have to, Earlham has knocked that team out of the tournament. I am hoping for Kenneth Bryant as player of the year, defensive player of the year, first team all-conference. I hope it happens. I think you are a lock for Coach of the Year.
5/6/2015 8:17 AM
ukula
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Overall it looks like a lean year for the NCAC - no dominant team(s).  On the positive side it should be wide open for the Conference Tournament and Regular Season Title.  The East looks like a 2-horse race between Earlham and Kenyon while the West should be competitive again with any of 5 teams taking the division. 

  East Rating Prediction
1 Earlham         53.84 National Tournament
2 Kenyon         53.42 National Tournament
3 Denison         48.01 Postseason Invitational
4 Allegheny         47.55  
5 Hiram         46.01  
6 Oberlin         45.68  
       
       
  West Rating Prediction
1 Wooster         52.61 National Tournament
2 Wittenberg         52.33 National Tournament
3 Ohio Wesleyan         50.70 National Tournament
4 Wabash         49.33 Postseason Invitational
5 Grove City         48.31 Postseason Invitational
6 Thiel         48.26  
5/28/2015 4:29 PM
zorzii
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Well, Ukula, your predictions are about what I think of the teams in our division. We are a lot weaker as a whole. I think I will struggle getting to the NT... I am pretty sure I can get a PIT bid. Last year, I felt I had one of the best teams if not the best of the conference. This year, I feel really vulnerable against every opponent!
5/28/2015 7:49 PM
ukula
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I'm actually surprised that we got the top score in the west since we've been struggling mightily in our first four games. My team is improving rapidly, lots of blue ratings with high work ethic, so I expect us to be pretty good come tournament time.
5/29/2015 5:54 AM
indyrider123
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Nice job ukula. I am hoping to sneak into the NT this season.
5/30/2015 6:32 PM
ukula
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Top 20 Players through the first 10 games:

    Name Yr. Pos GP GS MIN  GS 
1 Ohio Weleyan K. Bryant Sr. C 10 10 283  178.70
2 Allegheny J. Giglio Sr. PF 10 10 304  173.90
3 Grove City M. Montgomery Sr. SG 10 0 286  153.80
4 Wooster M. Irons Jr. SG 10 10 269  146.30
5 Earlham C. Braun So. C 10 10 231  139.90
6 Wooster T. Karle Jr. PF 10 10 270  137.70
7 Earlham C. Goolsby Sr. PG 10 10 246  128.90
8 Earlham R. Doyle Sr. C 10 10 231  127.30
9 Grove City D. Como Sr. PF 10 10 287  126.90
10 Wittenberg J. Morgan Jr. SG 10 10 233  122.30
11 Kenyon D. Welch Sr. SG 10 10 334  120.80
12 Oberlin J. Golden Sr. SG 10 10 230  113.90
13 Wabash R. Wilmer Sr. C 10 10 241  110.20
14 Thiel M. Morris Sr. SG 10 10 246  109.70
15 Wittenberg R. Johns Sr. PF 10 10 276  104.50
16 Wooster S. Whitesell Sr. SF 10 10 257  103.50
17 Hiram B. Curnutt Sr. PF 10 10 245  101.20
18 Ohio Weleyan D. Morton Sr. SG 10 10 244    95.60
19 Wittenberg A. Bonilla Jr. SF 10 0 216    91.70
20 Wabash R. Bolan Sr. PG 10 10 255    90.80 
6/4/2015 2:33 PM
ukula
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Top 20 Most Efficient Players through 10 games:

    Name Yr. Pos GP GS MIN  GS/40 
1 Ohio Weleyan K. Bryant Sr. C 10 10 283  25.26
2 Earlham C. Braun So. C 10 10 231  24.23
3 Allegheny J. Giglio Sr. PF 10 10 304  22.88
4 Earlham R. Doyle Sr. C 10 10 231  22.04
5 Wooster M. Irons Jr. SG 10 10 269  21.75
6 Grove City M. Montgomery Sr. SG 10 0 286  21.51
7 Wittenberg J. Morgan Jr. SG 10 10 233  21.00
8 Earlham C. Goolsby Sr. PG 10 10 246  20.96
9 Wittenberg J. Long Jr. SG 10 0 155  20.67
10 Wooster T. Karle Jr. PF 10 10 270  20.40
11 Oberlin J. Golden Sr. SG 10 10 230  19.81
12 Earlham R. Sparks Jr. PG 10 0 155  19.38
13 Wabash R. Wilmer Sr. C 10 10 241  18.29
14 Wooster E. Ikner Jr. SG 10 0 168  18.24
15 Thiel M. Morris Sr. SG 10 10 246  17.84
16 Grove City D. Como Sr. PF 10 10 287  17.69
17 Wittenberg A. Bonilla Jr. SF 10 0 216  16.98
18 Thiel J. Pitts So. C 10 0 162  16.94
19 Thiel D. Denham Sr. SF 10 10 191  16.54
20 Hiram B. Curnutt Sr. PF 10 10 245  16.52 
6/4/2015 2:39 PM
ukula
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Top 20 in Assists less Turnovers:

    Name Yr. Pos GP GS MIN  AST-TO 
1 Earlham S. Vincent Fr. PG 10 10 204     45
2 Allegheny C. Flynt Jr. PG 10 10 299     38
3 Wittenberg T. Carter Jr. PG 10 10 208     34
4 Wooster A. Lobel So. SG 10 10 253     33
5 Thiel D. Hayes Sr. PG 10 10 213     31
6 Kenyon G. Farmer Jr. PG 10 10 300     30
7 Grove City D. Smith Jr. PG 10 0 132     28
8 Hiram W. Wesley Jr. PG 10 10 255     24
9 Wittenberg J. Nowak Jr. SF 10 10 256     23
10 Wooster W. Tillotson Jr. SG 10 0 148     22
11 Wabash R. Bolan Sr. PG 10 10 255     19
12 Thiel C. Jordan Jr. PG 10 0 186     18
13 Kenyon S. Stone So. PG 10 0 158     17
14 Wittenberg G. Kahn Fr. PG 10 0 130     16
15 Grove City W. Rana So. PG 10 0 140     15
16 Ohio Weleyan W. Ricker Fr. PG 10 0 157     15
17 Wittenberg Z. Grace Fr. PG 10 0 92     14
18 Earlham P. Babb Fr. PG 10 10 203     14
19 Grove City A. Burns Sr. PG 10 10 260     13
20 Thiel B. Anderson Fr. SF 10 0 124     13 
6/4/2015 2:40 PM
indyrider123
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Nice ukula. I don't have many on the list. No stars on my team we play well together as a whole.
6/5/2015 10:09 AM
zorzii
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Kenneth Bryant is certainly one of the best player in DIII but other than him, we don't have that many good players. I hope to land two or three stars like Bryant in a particular recruiting season to make a move in the NT.
6/11/2015 7:57 AM
a_in_the_b
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Incoming.
6/26/2015 7:16 AM
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North Coast: King of Conferences Topic
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