Assuming MSU beats Iowa and if UNC beats Clemson in a close game, I think both Clemson and UNC are going to be behind OSU. The question is, will Stanford with a win over USC jump OSU and into the playoff. That is what it would come down to. I'm not sure the committee will overlook Stanford's losses, but wouldn't be surprised if it did. I don't see anyway Stanford and OSU aren't 4th and 5th in some order in that scenario. UNC would be ahead of Clemson. Iowa would probably be behind both. So if MSU, UNC, and Stanford all win, I think I would predict it will be 1. Bama, 2. MSU, 3. OU, 4. Stanford, 5. OSU, 6. UNC, 7. Clemson, 8. Iowa. Though could easily see OSU and Stanford flipped (I think you could make a strong case for MSU at #1 as well, which would then set-up the Big Ten/Pac 12 and SEC/Big 12). If Florida beats Bama or Stanford loses, then OSU gets into the playoffs with a UNC victory and I'm not sure the Iowa/MSU result matters as I think OSU would make it in over MSU in that scenario (despite the head to head, the loss to Nebraska just won't be overcome in that scenario).