@realist9900
@mojolad
I agree with Anthony (Tampafla) that roster/formation compatibility shouldn't be considered all that important. If a coach hasn't figured that piece of the game out, arguing the importance of Recruiting v. Gameplanning is a moot point. That stuff should be learned at the onset.
I never said recruiting wasn't important. It's just not the only deciding, nor necessarily the most important, factor. I mean, it's very easy to say that if a team doesn't have some decent talent on the roster, or decent depth, they likely won't have an impact on the world in the National Championship picture. By the way, I don't use the same formulas as GUESS to rate my own guys. I used it as an example because it's the only perspective of the talent on a roster that everyone shares. I know that the stuff that follows is "tldr," but I implore you to walk through it because it will make you at least revisit your stance on "Recruiting>>>>>Gameplanning."
Maybe I'm the only one in GD who thinks this, but I consider Recruiting and Gameplanning to be equally important, with neither being more important than the other. If you're not at least average in both, you're not winning a Championship. If you gave me a team within a 10 school range talent wise of any other team and I feel like I have a greater than 80% chance of winning that game based on my game planning. Let's look at another example: In Wilkinson, I took over UCLA in S111. USC won the Championship in S111, so obviously the coach knew what he was doing. By the time we reached S115, I had closed the talent gap according to GUESS to a near 20 team difference. I beat USC every season from S115 - S118. According to GUESS, here were our roster rankings for those 4 seasons (S115 - S118):
- USC - 6 / 3 / 9 / 14
- UCLA - 27 / 19 / 35 / 26
Now we can agree that we may evaluate players differently than GUESS formulas. But no matter how you evaluate it, I think it's very obvious that there was a significant talent disparity between our teams. Only 1 of those games (S117) was decided by less than 14 pts (4pts). I mentioned that USC had won the Championship in S111 because it's obvious that gkaal was very good at GD. Now, it seems odd that I'd get lucky given the talent disparity in each of those 4 seasons, especially in light of knowing that only one of those games was within 2 scores, but I'll carry it a step further in arguing my point... Each of those 4 seasons, UCLA made a level 5 bowl game. The following are the bowl game/opponent/coach/GUESS roster rating and results from each of those 4 seasons:
- S115 - WIS Championship - Texas - bkdries - #3 - Lost by 10pts. Won all other games, including vs. Notre Dame (#9) and Nebraska (#1) this season.
- S116 - Rose Bowl - Minnesota - ez37 - #8 - Won by 23pts. Was 3rd in Championship chase with only loss on season to Texas (#1). Won all other games, including vs. Tennessee (#15).
- S117 - Orange Bowl - Texas A&M - cebrake - #25 - Lost by 11pts. Was 3rd in Championship chase with only loss on the season before this game coming at the hands of Texas (#1). Won all other games, including vs. Tennessee (#20) and Boston College (#8).
- S118 - WIS Championship - Texas - bkdries - #2 - Lost by 15pts. Only loss on season. Also won games vs. Miami (#3) and Tennessee (#15) this season.
Anyone who knows me around here knows I like to schedule tough. Those games above mentioned in addition to the bowl game weren't the only human opponents I faced, nor the only ones with a GUESS rating higher than mine. In fact, just within the PAC-10, GUESS ranked UCLA as the 5th; 3rd; 6th; and 5th best from a talent standpoint for each of S115-S118, respectively.
Now, as I said before, you and I can agree that we may rate players differently than GUESS, but it's painfully obvious that in each of those seasons, UCLA was at not only a talent disadvantage in a lot of games, but at a significant talent disadvantage often. I listed out the coaches, because I know that each of those coaches is widely known in GD.
I'm in no way looking for a pat on the back or being braggadocios at all. If after reading through all of those facts you can tell me with a straight face that either: (i) there wasn't really a significant talent disparity that would likely hold no matter what rating calculation system you use; (ii) I somehow got "lucky" through all of those games; and/or (iii) gameplanning didn't play a significant role; then I guess we're just going to have to outright agree to disagree on the topic of the importance of Recruiting vs. Gameplanning.
Like I said, I think Gameplanning is equally as important as Recruiting.
5/6/2016 4:23 AM (edited)