Posted by gillispie1 on 7/24/2016 1:55:00 PM (view original):
Posted by fd343ny on 7/24/2016 1:00:00 AM (view original):
I would be shocked if there is a designed algorithm in the game that creates one upset for each team each season
Much more likely to be observed in hindsight as an artifact of the intended randomness of the engine
agreed, there is basically 0 chance this exists as some have suggested.
i have wondered in the past if HCA is an absolute or if there is a random nature to its effect, which would be a game-wide effect. i never really resolved that but i think the admins generally take the lazy way out which probably means HCA is a fixed effect. the range of outcomes from home vs away conf games sometimes seems to swing so hard in the way you don't expect, that i started to wonder. seble has never ruled out game-wide random effects, but really, ANY game-wide random effect, regardless of whether it affected teams or specific players, of meaningful weight, would function similar to an "upset factor",. so i wouldn't 100% rule that out. but there is no upset factor persay in this game, that has been ruled out by both admins and even without their comments, i'd be 95% sure there was no such thing just from observation.
Yes, agreed. And contrary to what several people seem to think and a topic that pops up every season is that Sims do NOT play any differently during the CT then they do during the regular season. By playing different I mean that we go back to the code again and that there isn't something written in the code that causes a Sim to all of a sudden play out of it's "mind" and well above it's abilities during the conference tournament. Every year someone will get upset and immediately start a thread about a Sim CT conspiracy. No......just, no.
What you're more than likely seeing is a two pronged effect. Prong one is that CT's games are inherently more important, valuable, AND (very important) more
noticeable. Coaches pay more attention and give more weight to those games than the same meeting during the regular season. Prong two is that coaches forget that while their team has improved,
SO HAS THE SIM'S! Not just ratings (and those may be minimal considering the kind of players Sims usually recruit) but more importantly, the Sim has improved it's team and player's IQ's. Coaches that lose tend to only focus on how well "their" team has improved throughout the season and seem to often forget that Sim teams practice too.
Factor those few things in and THAT is why some coaches insist that there is a "CT upset" programmed into the engine. Sorry folks....it's just...not...there.
7/24/2016 2:21 PM (edited)