Initial analysis of D-IAA playoffs
Bracket |
Avg ELO |
Std Dev |
North |
1917 |
182 |
South |
1874 |
126 |
East |
1929 |
94 |
West |
2023 |
157 |
What do these numbers mean?
Strongest region (highest average ELO) - West: This one was a no-brainer. Just looking at this bracket, I immediately knew it was the strongest one there's probably been in years. It's nearly a full 100 ELO higher than the next strongest bracket. That's pretty insane, considering the other brackets all fall within about a 50 ELO range. If just using these numbers from this season, it thinks this is a far enough outlier where you wouldn't see a bracket this strong for another 3-4 seasons.
Weakest region (lowest average ELO) - South: Howard's ELO carrying over from previous seasons drags this bracket down quite a bit, despite having a stellar season this season
Most parity (lowest standard deviation ELO) - East: This basically means this bracket is the most "up for grabs." This will be the hardest bracket to do predictions, since the teams are more close to each other in ELO
Least parity (highest standard deviation ELO) - North: This should be the easiest region to predict. It also typically means the top heavy teams will advance the most easily. You can probably pencil in Tennessee Tech into the Final Four.