I do think that luck plays more of a roll in higher cap leagues. For those who used to play Strat-O-Matic, you remember when you used to play an all-star game. Whomever rolled the 1, 2, or 3 (which pulls the result off the batter's card) more frequently than 4, 5, 6 (which pulls the result of the pitcher's card) usually won the game