Happy Trails Mariano Topic

I just yell "BILL JAMES' ****, WOMAN!!!  YOU WOULDN'T GET IT!!!   IT'S ADVANCED METRICS!!!!!" and she leaves me alone.
5/8/2012 5:15 PM
Posted by deanod on 5/8/2012 4:17:00 PM (view original):
seems that jrdx went running like a schoolgirl after the smackdown issued by Mariano the SP
The smackdown?  He gave up 2 runs in 3 and two thirds innings.  Watch out Roger Clemens, Rivera and his 4+ ERA are coming to get you.
5/8/2012 5:37 PM
Posted by MikeT23 on 5/8/2012 1:03:00 PM (view original):
This looks normal to me!

Best MikeT23 post EVAH!
5/8/2012 5:39 PM
My mom says "Dude, it's just a formula based on walks, strikeouts and home runs.  WTF is advanced about that?"  

So I yelled " THE MEATLOAF!!! ****!!!"

5/8/2012 5:39 PM
That was meant as a joke, really.  For every game like that one, there are 3 like this:

www.whatifsports.com/slb/Boxscore.aspx

In any case, I was using 1995 Mariano Rivera, his only season as a starter.
5/8/2012 5:43 PM
Posted by jrd_x on 5/8/2012 5:37:00 PM (view original):
Posted by deanod on 5/8/2012 4:17:00 PM (view original):
seems that jrdx went running like a schoolgirl after the smackdown issued by Mariano the SP
The smackdown?  He gave up 2 runs in 3 and two thirds innings.  Watch out Roger Clemens, Rivera and his 4+ ERA are coming to get you.
5/8/2012 6:41 PM
Posted by MikeT23 on 5/8/2012 5:39:00 PM (view original):
My mom says "Dude, it's just a formula based on walks, strikeouts and home runs.  WTF is advanced about that?"  

So I yelled " THE MEATLOAF!!! ****!!!"

Your mom sounds smart!
5/8/2012 6:42 PM
5/9/2012 4:00 PM
FWIW, last night is the value of Rivera.  Not that he hasn't given up bombs in close games but, despite Robertson's K rate(and probably outstanding FIP), there isn't the feeling that he's just going to come in and slam the door.   He hasn't "earned" that.

5/10/2012 9:27 AM
the Yankees will do anything to make Rivera look good...
5/10/2012 9:55 AM
Posted by jrd_x on 5/8/2012 12:30:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 5/8/2012 12:00:00 PM (view original):
One might say he got that opportunity because nobody could ******* hit him.    Discount saves altogether.    Do his core stats beyond that say he was really good?  I think they do.

He pitched 1360 innings.   I wonder, if you took the best 1360 innings of every pitcher who threw 1360 innings since 1995 and isolated them, how many would mirror Rivera?    Pedro threw about 2500.   Less than double.    He was pretty good, right?  Take his 1100 worst innings out and see where he stands.  I'm sure he'll be better but how much better?
He was very, very good.  I've already said he's a Hall of Famer.  What more do you want?

And to take you up on your "I wonder," from 1997-2003 Pedro threw 1408 IP, they are consecutive, I wasn't able in just a couple minutes to pick out his best 1400 innings, but his stats are:

2.20 ERA
0.94 WHIP
213 ERA+ (with a peak of 291)
11.3 K/9
0.6 HR/9
2.0 BB/9
1761 K

That's almost exactly the same as Rivera:

2.21 ERA
0.998 WHIP
206 ERA+ (with a peak of 316)
8.3 K/9
0.5 HR/9
2.0 BB/9
1119 K





I know I'm behind on this, but it looks like a lot of this thread is fluff anyways.

This comparison isn't fair at all.  And while you can't predict exactly what Pedro would have done as a reliever, and what Mo would have done as a starter, it's a pretty well-known fact that pitchers will have better numbers as relievers than as a starter.  Reason is that you can let your fastball go, have better break on your pitches, etc, because you only have to pitch one inning at a time. I could give several examples of this, yes, Gagne being one of them. For the Yankee fans, Hughes and Joba.

At the same time, Rivera is special for a few reasons - obviously his stuff (er..pitch) was nasty, but he also built a reputation and had a mental edge over his opponents more than most pitchers.  And since he pitched for a team that was constantly in the playoffs, and was DOMINANT there, this just furthers his legacy.  And yes, the rest of his team was largely responsible for getting him the opportunity to have so many appearances, but he certainly made the most of that opportunity.  Appreciate Mo for what he was, and don't try to downplay his value.
5/10/2012 1:53 PM
Posted by deanod on 5/8/2012 1:18:00 PM (view original):
Posted by jrd_x on 5/8/2012 1:11:00 PM (view original):
Posted by deanod on 5/8/2012 1:07:00 PM (view original):
"Can we say that Rivera would have been anywhere near as dominant as a starter?  I don't think so.  Which is why Rivera is not an all time great, inner circle Hall of Famer."

This doesn't pertain to anything really because he had a valuable career without ever starting.  It's approximately as relevant as arguing that Jeter doesn't belong in the inner circle of the HoF because he couldn't cut it as a starting pitcher- who gives a ****?
Well it does matter.  Had Rivera been able to maintain the same rate stats in a starting role as opposed to relief, would you start him or leave him in the bullpen?

Regarding your analogy, if Jeter had been a DH, do his offensive stats make him a Hall of Famer?
zzzzzzzz who cares?  That's a stupid question that serves no purpose other than to derail.

He put up very good offensive numbers as a SS so he's in, how he would have done in a different role in an alternate reality is just mental masturbation that means nothing to the discussion at hand.
It's 3:03 in the morning and I'm reading this thread for the first time in a few days, trying to get caught up with what's being said.  After reading every post, the only one that sticks out to me is the last sentence posted above where "Mental Masturbation" and "The Discussion At Hand" is used in the same sentence.  I LOL'ed when I seen it and I can't even figure out why.  I must be tired - going to bed....

5/11/2012 3:06 AM
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Happy Trails Mariano Topic

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