Posted by Trentonjoe on 2/2/2016 7:53:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bistiza on 2/2/2016 3:31:00 PM (view original):
Posted by Trentonjoe on 2/1/2016 7:36:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bistiza on 2/1/2016 7:18:00 PM (view original):
Posted by Trentonjoe on 1/31/2016 6:54:00 PM (view original):
By favorite is the "gamble" by the DB in the super bowl, it was a quick slant route, every coach in America teaches what Butler did.......
You're kidding, right?
Butler had no idea what route was called - he guessed. That's the gamble he took. He just happened to be right. He got lucky. If he wasn't right, he just lost the game for his team - and given the other routes that could have been called, it's more likely he'd be wrong than right. It was a horribly play that just happened to work.
It's like placing a single bet on snake eyes at a craps table and it hits. It doesn't make it a good move - it just means you got lucky. Most of the time it will lose.
You couldn't be any more wrong..... the receiver took a hard inside cut on the first or second step, on the two yard line you jump that all day long, there really isn't a lot else he could do in man coverage...the fundamental rule of man to man defense on the goal line is  "don't get beat on the slant"......what other routes could be called?....a slant and up?  not a ton of space, a whip route? there was a immediate outside receiver?  Plus  I remember Butler (?) that was a goal line play they really prepared for.....
It was a horrible play call, and Wilson made a terrible throw.
The receiver's cut had him wide open - if Wilson doesn't lead him so much, either he catches the ball and if the Pats are lucky he's down short of the goal line or maybe it's off his hands incomplete. Where Wilson threw it was as if he were throwing TO Butler.
Butler still gambled. Why? If the receiver cuts inside and then stops - and he very well could have done just that - Wilson likely him in the chest, he catches it and cuts away from the charging Butler, and it's an easy TD with the only other defender anywhere near the play being blocked.
Butler had to hope it was a quick slant. He had no way of knowing that to be the case, even after the receiver cuts, because this is the NFL. Receivers at this level can do so much more than at other levels. You can coach a high school kid to make that play all you want, and he probably won't get burned, but in the NFL, it's going to happen sometimes because receivers there are better at disguising routes (not on this play, but the point remains).
Seriously, watch the play. If the route was to disguise it as an inside slant and sit down, it's a walk into the end zone on the outside when Butler charges from the inside. Butler is an NFL defensive back - he's aware of the fact NFL receivers can disguise routes and chose to gamble by hoping that wasn't the case. He just happened to be correct on this play.
I did watch the play, it was a catch and snap throw, the ball was out of wilson's hand in less than one second, his front shoulder indicated a slant, there was no reason (or time) to indicate it was anything other than a slant, I am not sure what Butler could have done different, you can't play soft on the goal line and in a slot stack formation like that he had to respect the slant first and foremost, if it's a slant and sit (which is not a good pattern vs man) Butler is still in great position because his angles is the insider shoulder of the WR, 
The play call was horrible - it should have been a Lynch run. Most people agree on that, and those who don't are kidding themselves.
The throw was terrible - Wilson lead him too much, almost as if he were throwing TO Butler, as I said.
Butler completely sold out on the slant. He's an NFL DB - he had plenty of time to wait half a second to make sure and still knock down a pass. Instead, he gambled and sold out to the point he put the entire game - the biggest of the year and probably his career - on the line on one play. If he is wrong, it's a TD and his team loses. If he is right, it's an interception and his team wins. It worked out for him, but if Belicheat was honest he'd say he doesn't like the idea of a DB playing a hunch and gambling the outcome of the Super Bowl on it.
I agree slant isn't good against man coverage most of the time - it only works well if the receiver can get inside his man and stay there. That was also part of the problem - in addition to a bad throw, the receiver didn't box Butler out of the play. Instead Butler knocks him over and takes the ball. If the receiver just plays rougher there, Butler falls over too - or the receiver might even catch it, knock Butler over, and score.