Posted by MikeT23 on 11/7/2014 3:34:00 PM (view original):
Yeah, I missed that part.
Nonetheless, I'm sure there were some undefeated teams, pre-BCS, that didn't get to play for the NC. Maybe I'll do the work one day.
And the point I'm making is that being undefeated seems to be a lock to getting to the playoffs. If you're one of the 65, it makes no sense to schedule a tough non-con game. MSU might be a fine example this season for the pitfalls of doing so.
pre-BCS there wasn't a national title game. There were a bunch of separate bowl games with conference ties. So you could have had undefeated Michigan playing 4 loss USC in the Rose Bowl, while undefeated Alabama was in the Sugar Bowl against a 2 loss team, undefeated Oklahoma was in the Fiesta Bowl against a 3 loss team, etc.
The BCS era is basically the only era you can look for national title games because that is the only era where there was one. And in that, Auburn in 2004 is the only undefeated team (from a major conference) that did not play in the title game, and the most common reason why they did not play in the national title game was their non conference schedule was UL Monroe, La Tech, and the Citadel and the SEC was a bit down that year. That year Oklahoma and USC both played much better schedules on the whole and thus were 1 and 2 while Auburn was 3 (OU and USC were also much better historically which weighs in on the voters).
The BCS era will also tell you that a significant number of 1 loss teams from major conferences did not play for the national title and would not have been in the top 4 teams if there was a 4 team playoff. That is why the schedule matters. And yeah, no AD goes into a year thinking they will lose a game, but the good ones plan for that possibility. It is why OSU's AD has gone on the record saying they are only going to schedule major conference teams because they don't want their schedule to be the reason they aren't in the playoff. Increase the strength of the schedule on the whole and you can survive a loss.