MID SEASON REPORT
What we learned about my Final Four Picks:
Ferrum 10-0 WIS #14 61|308
Scheduled a extremely easy schedule, even with a tough conf slate, 308 is really weak for such a talented team. Their best win is against the 59th RPI team in a 27 point victory. Non-conf really does not tell us anything more than we knew, they are still one of the most talented teams, and should show that during conf play as well as receiving a huge rpi/sos boost.
Previous Prediction 25-1(15-1) 1 Seed F4
New Prediction 23-3(13-3) 1 Seed F4
La Grange 9-1 WIS #7 12|69
A 1 point loss to 23rd RPI team is the only thing that held La Grange from a undefeated non-conf. As expected speed is what makes this team very good. Best win against the 17th rpi team by 10. La Grange has shown the ability to play multiple tempo's. Again relatively weak non-conf due to a upcoming brutal conf slate, so non-conf isn't going to change to much of my predictions
Previous Prediction 23-3(13-3) 1 Seed F4
New Prediction 21-5(12-4) 2 Seed F4
Redlands 10-0 WIS #2 2|19
I believe people knew TJ would have a good team(maybe not himself), but I don't think very many people had them making the Final Four like I did, however in non-conf they looked like the real deal. Redlands hold two RPI top 10 wins(4,7). An overtime game against a 150 RPI team is a little concerning, but probably helped TJ look at his team.
Previous Prediction 20-6(11-5) 4 Seed F4
New Prediction 21-5(11-5) 2 Seed F4
Lawrence 10-0 WIS #3 27|160
Another team with a weak non-conf, followed by a tough conf slate, makes it hard to evaluate. Wins over 1st and 18th ranked rpi teams are very good. The sophmores on this team are getting close to B+ IQ and are still developing great, meaning this team will be even better at the end of the season. Going to drop them from the final four as they were my "last in" due to another team outperforming due to my mis-evalutation of them
Previous Prediction 20-6(12-4) 4 Seed Final Four
New Prediction 23-3 (13-3) 3 Seed Elite 8
Welcome to the F4:
Montclair St. 10-0 WIS #1 3|22
jdno has this team in top gear with a 20+ margin of victory this uber athletic team is crushing opponents, and has 3 top 25 RPI wins and 4 top 50 rpi wins. Reese is a monster and noone should be able to stop him or even score much against him for the continuation of the season, averaging 25 ppg on 56% shooting, the 99 stamina is perfect in the fb/fcp meaning jdno can give him 26 mpg and not be to worried about fatige. Expect this team to continue its elite level of play and carry them to the final four.
Previous prediction- not made
New prediction 25-1(15-1) 1 seed final four
New NC prediction Ferrum over Montclair St.
Still think Ferrum is the team to beat and has the ath/spd to matchup enough against montclair and the depth to combat the FB/FCP.