Posted by bad_luck on 6/30/2016 4:38:00 PM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 6/30/2016 4:36:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 6/30/2016 4:02:00 PM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 6/30/2016 3:08:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 6/30/2016 2:49:00 PM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 6/30/2016 2:43:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 6/30/2016 2:36:00 PM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 6/30/2016 2:26:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 6/30/2016 2:20:00 PM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 6/30/2016 2:12:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 6/30/2016 1:57:00 PM (view original):
My position is that a walk is always positive.
They are always positive.
My question was: were the impacts of the walks in both scenarios identical?
Let me ask in another way, with a hypothetical roster/batting order:
Bottom of the ninth, two outs, tying run on third.
a) Mike Trout draws a walk, Mario Mendoza coming up to the plate
b) Mario Mendoza draws a walk, Mike Trout coming up to the plate
Exactly the same?
Nope, but thanks for confirming that walks are always good. You may want to let Mike know so he doesn't argue that Martinez walked too much.
Why aren't they the same? Please explain.
You want me to explain why, in two identical scenarios, you'd rather have your best hitter up instead of your worst hitter?
****, it doesn't need to be bottom of the 9th, two out. It could be 10-0 in the third. That answer never changes.
So your precious "value of events" charts fail to take context or relative value into account?
What event? You have a guy on first (and third, in this case) with either your best or your worst hitter coming up. You always choose best.
Is context important?
Is there a situation where you wouldn't want your best hitter up?
It depends. What do you want your best hitter to do when he's up?
Wait, what?
You're saying there are situations where you'd rather have Mendoza batting instead of Trout?
Let's add some more context.
Bottom of the ninth, down by a run, two outs, runner on third.
a) Mike Trout at bat, Mario Mendoza on deck. Would you prefer to see Trout try to work a walk (a POSITIVE EVENT!!) and take your chances on Mendoza?
b) Mario Mendoza at bat, Mike Trout on deck. Would you prefer to see Mendoza try to work a walk (a POSITIVE EVENT!!) and take your chances on Trout?