Posted by poncho0091 on 10/10/2016 12:17:00 AM (view original):
I think Cavs post is by far one of the most important posts in this entire thread. Cavs is the current target audience. The vets who don't like the update have been told to suck it up and move on if we don't like it, because there is a presumption that the old game could not retain new players. Cavs is the target audience of this update. He is a new player who had a few seasons under HD2 and now has time under HD3 and immediately he is turned off. What this says is that maybe HD3 will not appeal as much to new players. Yes there are some who will like the update, but it just further enforces the point that HD2.0 was not the issue for retention. As may have been saying for years, you can't expect to build a game and not advertise for multiple years. If you don't advertise, you cannot replace those who eventually leave.
The target audience is fans of sports simulation and fantasy sports who are not already playing the game. They have filled worlds before on promotions/giveaways, and after 2 seasons they went straight back to where they were. Advertising that game would have been good money after bad.
If you show this game to 100 random game players, 90 of them won't be interested from the start. Text-based sports simulations is a very niche market. Of the 10 who might give it a chance, you want to retain as many as possible. And some of those 10 still aren't going to like it, just because of their own preferences. As I've said before, players have different preferences on how much ambiguity they can handle, how deterministic they want the game to be. But one constant from the business end is that you don't want a large group of players who have "figured it out" clogging up all the top spots. It's not that you don't want their money (for those who are paying something), but you need to adapt the game to keep ahead of them, or it's taken over by whales.
Nobody has vision or real interest in WIS business plan, except WIS and their employees, so this "mass exodus" speculation is a time and energy waster. It's a fact that every major tech update is met with a certain amount of attrition from people who just don't like the change for whatever reason. You have a right to not like it and voice your displeasure. But this kind of doom and gloom thread about how disastrous it's going to be if this or that subset of customers decide to go away is pretty myopic.