Bad Beats in Recruiting Odds Topic

I need some of Fregoe's luck. I've been getting killed on underdog rolls with UMBC in Phelan. I've won 1 of about 15 underdog rolls since I joined UMBC. The favorite has continuously beat me out.
7/15/2022 2:28 PM
Posted by sol_phenom3 on 7/15/2022 2:28:00 PM (view original):
I need some of Fregoe's luck. I've been getting killed on underdog rolls with UMBC in Phelan. I've won 1 of about 15 underdog rolls since I joined UMBC. The favorite has continuously beat me out.
Same here with UK in Smith. I haven’t gotten to 15, but I’ve had a solid 7-8 H-VH underdog rolls in the last 3 seasons, and only one (Winsett) has panned out.
7/15/2022 2:39 PM
I was drinking and golfing with admin for the week and missed details on one of my W Virigina roll But I did win as a High I think. my official results so far are of the 4 rolls my teams have been involved in. The dog won all 4. My teams got the player twice..
Team Year Player Fav Dog Winner winning team
Coppin St 188 Glenn Miligan 62 38 Dog Coppin
Drake 168 Jan Threlkeld 57 43 Dog Missouri
Wyoming 169 Thomas Mathis 74 26 Dog Air Force
Miss V St 134 Jason Morejon 63 37 Dog Miss V St
8/2/2022 3:42 PM
Team Year Player Fav Dog Winner winning team Coppin St 188 Glenn Miligan 62 38 Dog Coppin Drake 168 Jan Threlkeld 57 43 Dog Missouri Wyoming 169 Thomas Mathis 74 26 Dog Air Force Miss V St 134 Jason Morejon 63 37 Dog Miss V St Coppin St 189 Shawn Smith 49 30 Dog Morgan St Coppin St 189 Jay Barrett 58 42 Dog Coppin St Miss V St 135 Jason Morejon 63 37 Dog Miss St
8/8/2022 12:26 PM
****, oh well. moral of the story. Dogs have won the last 7 my teams have been in
8/8/2022 12:27 PM
Newb question here, but how/where do you see the odds?
8/9/2022 10:12 AM
click on considering after they sign you will see a Percentage
8/9/2022 10:19 AM
This recruit has signed with Morgan State
Team Coach Division Prestige Int Level Scholarship Offer? Odds
Coppin State Fregoe DI B- Very High Yes 49%
Morgan State osubucks635 DI B- High Yes 30%
West Virginia bcnopolis DI C+ High Yes 21%
8/9/2022 10:20 AM
I won a roll at 24% vs 76% this season for a stud recruit vs an A+ (I was A-). I just stuck it out at High and went to a roll and one landed in my favour.
8/12/2022 9:28 AM
I am now 0-6 in rolls where I've had 65% odds or better. This is getting a little bit annoying.
9/6/2022 8:40 AM
Posted by ja_tbfl on 9/6/2022 8:40:00 AM (view original):
I am now 0-6 in rolls where I've had 65% odds or better. This is getting a little bit annoying.
Just get to 40% on 2 players. Then you have 65% chance to get 1 and the upside to get both.
9/6/2022 11:10 AM
Team Year Player Fav Dog Winner winning team
Coppin St 188 Glenn Miligan 62 38 Dog Coppin
Drake 168 Jan Threlkeld 57 43 Dog Missouri
Wyoming 169 Thomas Mathis 74 26 Dog Air Force
Miss V St 134 Jason Morejon 63 37 Dog Miss V St
Coppin St 189 Shawn Smith 49 30 Dog Morgan St
Coppin St 189 Jay Barrett 58 42 Dog Coppin St
Miss V St 135 Jason Morejon 63 37 Dog Miss St
Clemson 132 Richard Lebel 74 26 Fav Indiana
Boise St 129 Douglas Vogel 69 31 Fav Gonzaga
Wyoming 170 Tim Ward 75 25 Fav Gonzaga
Wyoming 170 JR Nagata 69 31 Fav Iowa St
Lamar 135 Fred McCullough 76 24 Fav Lamar
Drake 170 Ahmad Whitehill 71 29 Fav Drake
Drake 170 Zach Parks 55 23 Fav Illinois
Drake 170 Roy Jones 48 17 Underdog ND
Clemson Craig Bryant 51 49 Fav Vandy
9/13/2022 1:28 PM
Updated as of today for my rolls across all 10 worlds
9/13/2022 1:29 PM
Just lost a 74-26. Man that hurts.
10/29/2022 11:57 PM
I have been keeping track for some time. The results...note, this does not include players that ended up 100%:

When ahead by more than 20 percentage points: won 7 of 13 (54%)
When ahead by less than 20 percentage points: won 9 of 22 (41%)
Total when ahead (including 3 ways or more) won 16 of 35 (46%)
When behind (including 3 ways or more) won 8 of 23 (35%)


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11/4/2022 4:34 PM
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Bad Beats in Recruiting Odds Topic

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