1975 progressive draft -1st pick - Eck or the Kid? Topic

Two outstanding careers duh.
Disregarding needs.
Who would you pick?
TIA
11/17/2010 6:30 PM
Single season leagues: when in doubt, always go with pitching.

Sincerely,

Your World Series Champion
11/17/2010 7:39 PM
Seriously, even disregarding Eck's amazing closer years, he is still a pretty damn good starter in his own right. The 1988-92 years with Oakland are just whip cream on the sundae. To me it's not even close.
11/17/2010 7:41 PM
Yeah, I would take Dennis in a heartbeat.

You don't win titles with good catchers....
11/17/2010 7:43 PM
Eck...no question...pitching, pitching, pitching
11/18/2010 1:46 AM
Yep, pitching. Keep in mind as you enter the 80's guys stop pitching as many innings. With fewer 300ip guys you'll start having a 4 man rotation. Also the answer is almost always pitching.
11/18/2010 12:14 PM
Honestly I'm not sure this is a slam dunk. It depends a lot on your park. In a park like Wrigley, Eck's HR/9 is going to get him lit up and he'll be a #3 at best. And Carter will lock down your C position for 10 years without ever having to worry about it. I'd lean towards Carter.
11/18/2010 12:18 PM
I went with Eck, for the following reasons.

I play at Dodger Stadium.
'75 is my 2nd and final rebuilding season.
I should have a top four pick in '76.
Carter is awful offensively in '76.
I have a platoon of Fosse and Stinson for a couple seasons.
Plus, '78 Stinson is pretty darn good.

Eck is solid to very, very good for a decade. My ace is JR.
I'm comfortable with my choice.

Thanks for the feedback all. 
11/18/2010 1:48 PM
To each his own, but I'm with jfranco, I don't think this is a slam dunk at all.  If you knew you were going to be competitive in 1975-77, then yes Eckersley makes sense.  But from 1978-86 I don't think he has a single season where he's a #1 starter; and in several years (esp '83 and '86 he's below average).  His '85 is much better, but probably won't even reach 200IP that year.

Yes, from 1988-92 he's a lights-out RP, but (a) are you sure you'll be in the league that long? and (b) in my opinion the importance of having a dominant closer in a progressive is very overrated.  I've been in many many progs where teams won pennants with run-of-the-mill RPs as closers, and it's usually not hard to draft or trade for an RP who can give you 60IP of 120+ OAV+.

Carter gives you a top-3 catcher (in many years he's the best catcher period) for 11 out of 12 seasons.  During a time when there was a real scarcity at that position in MLB.  If your team was going to peak somewhere in 1978-84, I actually think the right choice is Carter.

11/18/2010 4:50 PM
I think this is the first time I think jfranco and contrarian are dead wrong.

I think Eckersley has all star potential in 5 seasons (76,77,79,81,84,85) as a starter and 5 other seasons I would have no problem using as starting pitcher (all the other years except 1983).

I think you could also trade him after 1985 and get a 1st round draft pick for him.   

Carter has 10 all star quality seasons....( I don't count 1981 I think Contrarian does), it isn't chopped liver but I would rather have a SP for 10 years than a catcher.
11/18/2010 8:12 PM
In a bubble, you made the correct choice... especially in that park.

Eck isn't super dominant, but having a #1/#2 year in and year out is so valuable. The RP seasons are really just icing on the cake. While contrarian is right in that it's usually not that hard to find a good reliever or two each season, you still need more than that to build a good bullpen. Keeping 5 or 6 RP's might be overkill, having a couple that are good every season that you can just add to is pretty important.

And if we're talking about overrated positions, I believe catchers far and away take that honour. Value a good one similar to a 2nd OF or a non-elite 1B...


11/18/2010 9:07 PM

I did count Carter's 81, though it's probably his weakest season aside in the '77-86 period.  He's 5th best among fulltime catchers in RC/27, and has an A+ arm to boot. 

For what it's worth, TJ is one of the most successful prog owners I've competed against in WIS so if it comes down to whose word you're gonna take, heck, even I would probably lean toward his.

But I'm just not seeing it with Eckersley.  I would not feel confident about my chances in the 78-86 run if I went into the season knowing Eck was my #1 starter. Most of the seasons in there, I don't think he's even a #2.

And as to the point about catchers being overrated, that I definitely disagree with, especially in a progressive.  I build my teams around strength up the middle - top catcher, 2B, and SS.  Let someone else bid for the 1B and OF; you can find a decent bat or three at those positions easily, and their defense rarely matters much.  A catcher who can hit and play D is an exceptionally rare commodity, especially in the modern era. 

11/18/2010 10:31 PM
Don't know if this helps but here are Eck's numbers for me in the Centenary Prog League -- He was my 1st round pick in '75 and have had him every year thru '86 -- '87 season is starting soon -- his whole career has been in Cleveland stadium for home park -- In this time frame '75 thru '86 the team has only had 1 losing season -1983 --  and has averaged 96 wins/yr 

 
 
11/19/2010 6:01 PM (edited)
League Owner G GS W L SV SVO IP BFP NP H ER HR BB SO OAV OBP SLG WHIP ERA
91972 fire13 57 37 12 13 3 4 209.0 921 3057 263 112 19 40 156 .305 .340 .444 1.45 4.82
90406 fire13 44 40 10 8 1 1 198.3 798 2643 170 82 27 26 151 .225 .253 .384 0.99 3.72
89207 fire13 42 33 9 4 0 0 179.3 749 2437 176 57 13 41 94 .255 .299 .370 1.21 2.86
88008 fire13 5 2 1 1 0 0 14.7 69 223 20 7 0 4 6 .323 .358 .403 1.64 4.30
86761 fire13 52 41 9 20 0 0 248.3 1109 3692 309 155 43 53 174 .299 .335 .495 1.46 5.62
85356 fire13 40 40 15 8 0 0 238.0 1001 3334 251 82 11 50 140 .267 .306 .362 1.26 3.10
83830 fire13 36 34 17 6 1 1 232.0 961 3156 218 85 25 44 156 .242 .279 .381 1.13 3.30
82363 fire13 47 40 19 14 0 0 282.3 1193 3968 294 140 42 52 206 .264 .303 .433 1.23 4.46
80804 fire13 52 41 24 10 0 0 285.0 1194 3913 283 128 44 57 202 .253 .293 .411 1.19 4.04
79354 fire13 41 41 18 14 0 0 288.0 1193 4008 256 106 32 77 238 .234 .288 .364 1.16 3.31
77818 fire13 37 37 21 8 0 0 255.3 1028 3573 192 82 21 79 274 .208 .273 .321 1.06 2.89
76019 fire13 37 36 19 8 0 0 234.3 971 3349 184 87 23 92 200 .213 .292 .339 1.18 3.34
Career Totals 490 422 174 114 5 6 2,664.7 11187 37353 2616 1123 300 615 1997 .253 .298 .394 1.21 3.79
 
11/19/2010 6:00 PM
Posted by Trentonjoe on 11/18/2010 8:12:00 PM (view original):
I think this is the first time I think jfranco and contrarian are dead wrong.

I think Eckersley has all star potential in 5 seasons (76,77,79,81,84,85) as a starter and 5 other seasons I would have no problem using as starting pitcher (all the other years except 1983).

I think you could also trade him after 1985 and get a 1st round draft pick for him.   

Carter has 10 all star quality seasons....( I don't count 1981 I think Contrarian does), it isn't chopped liver but I would rather have a SP for 10 years than a catcher.
AGREED, I usually agree with JFranco I would go with Eck for sure.  You can always find a Catcher here and there, pitching is where it is at.
11/19/2010 6:16 PM
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