Fatigue questions Topic

I tried searching the forums, but it looks like all old data is gone and I couldn't find anything on this topic.

I'm trying to recall the effects of fatigue.  I know that for fielders, their fielding% will start to degrade slightly even at 99% fatigue (recalling the "perfect fielding" threads from years past, where even perfect fielders will make errors at slight fatigue), and the general consensus seemed to be that the magic number was about 92%.  Anything below will begin to have serious impact.

My questions relate to the many aspects of fatigue - mainly for fielding and hitting.  (My belief is that fatigue for pitching is so catastrophic that there's really no point in even trying to quantify the exact nature of the effects.  "Bad bad bad" should suffice.)

For hitting, I'm in a situation where I'm out of money for a DH, and I'm seriously considering going with a player with 200 PA.  Obviously, he's going to run into devastating fatigue.  What can I expect?  Will AVG degrade more or less than OBP?  (i.e., will he still draw walks?)  Are XBH effected?  (i.e., will he still get hits, but only singles as he can't leg 'em out anymore?)  Or will everything degrade evenly?  Exactly how bad will it be... will he be totally useless at 10-15% fatigue, or is the max penalty 50%?  75%?  I've never tried running someone down that far so I have no idea.

On the other hand, if I use full-PA DH and instead skimp on a right-fielder at similar PA... exactly how bad will his fielding get?  Is his range affected?  I'm looking at taking a "real" DH but using a 152 PA OF with A fielding and A++ range.  Will he still get + plays when exhausted?  Exactly how bad will his fielding % get?

Any help is greatly, greatly appreciated.
12/10/2010 12:08 PM
I don't know if this helps but fielding seems to have a linear decline whereas batting is on a bell curve....

I would avoid playing fatigued position players.
12/10/2010 12:53 PM
Can you go with a light-hitting catcher who walks a lot for your short PA guy?

I just finished a progressive season where I played Joe Girardi '01 down into the 40s. What I found interesting is that his ability to throw out runners didn't seem TOO degraded. (15 out of 40 with an A+ arm) and his fielding percentage for the year was still .988.

For the year he hit 145/209/200 in about 430 PA (RL stats 253 PA, 253/315/345).

For just the games below 60% he hit 127/195/162 in 339 AB. So it seems his walk rate was NOT severely degraded (23/339 tired, 32/406 overall)
12/10/2010 1:19 PM
Date  %  AB  H  2B  3B  HR  RBI  BB  SO  AVG  OBP  SLG 
10/23 pm2  58 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0.229 0.329 0.371
10/24 am  55 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0.216 0.322 0.351
10/25 am  59 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.218 0.319 0.346
10/25 pm  56 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.22 0.316 0.341
10/25 pm2  54 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0.226 0.333 0.345
10/26 am  52 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.216 0.327 0.33
10/27 am  55 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0.222 0.343 0.333
10/27 pm  53 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.223 0.339 0.33
10/27 pm2  51 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.214 0.328 0.316
10/28 am  49 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.206 0.317 0.304
10/28 pm  48 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.2 0.309 0.295
10/29 pm  53 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0.202 0.318 0.294
10/29 pm2  49 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.195 0.308 0.283
10/30 am  48 4 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 0.205 0.314 0.291
10/30 pm  46 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.198 0.305 0.281
10/31 am  48 5 1 1 0 0 2 0 2 0.198 0.301 0.286
10/31 pm  45 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.192 0.293 0.277
10/31 pm2  44 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.188 0.292 0.271
11/1 am  42 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.182 0.285 0.263
11/2 am  46 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.184 0.284 0.262
11/2 pm  45 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.181 0.279 0.257
11/2 pm2  45 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.174 0.271 0.248
11/3 pm  45 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.171 0.266 0.243
11/3 pm2  45 3 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 0.174 0.271 0.252
11/4 am  43 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0.171 0.275 0.247
11/4 pm  41 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.168 0.27 0.242
11/4 pm2  41 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0.165 0.266 0.238
11/5 pm2  45 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0.166 0.264 0.237
11/6 am  43 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.162 0.259 0.231
11/6 pm2  45 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.157 0.252 0.225
11/7 am  43 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0.154 0.248 0.22
11/7 pm  42 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.151 0.248 0.216
11/7 pm2  41 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.149 0.244 0.213
11/8 am  41 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.146 0.24 0.208
11/8 pm  40 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.154 0.245 0.215
11/9 pm  45 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.16 0.249 0.22
11/9 pm2  44 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.158 0.246 0.217
11/10 am  43 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.155 0.241 0.213
11/10 pm  42 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0.156 0.241 0.212
11/10 pm2  41 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0.153 0.237 0.208
11/11 am  40 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.155 0.237 0.209
11/11 pm  39 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.152 0.233 0.205
11/11 pm2  38 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.154 0.234 0.207
11/12 am  38 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.152 0.231 0.204
11/12 pm  38 3 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 0.155 0.236 0.206
11/13 am  39 4 1 0 0 0 2 0 3 0.156 0.236 0.207
11/14 am  42 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.154 0.232 0.203
11/14 pm2  43 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.151 0.232 0.2
11/15 pm  43 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0.149 0.228 0.197
11/16 am  44 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.146 0.224 0.193
11/16 pm2  44 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.143 0.22 0.189
11/17 am  42 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.141 0.218 0.187
11/17 pm2  44 4 1 0 0 0 2 1 2 0.143 0.221 0.188
11/18 pm  44 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.144 0.221 0.188
11/19 pm  45 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0.142 0.218 0.185
11/19 pm2  45 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.14 0.216 0.183
11/20 pm  46 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.139 0.214 0.181
11/20 pm2  46 4 2 0 0 1 1 1 1 0.144 0.22 0.196
11/21 am  45 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.145 0.22 0.197
11/21 pm2  45 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.144 0.218 0.195
11/22 am  45 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0.141 0.215 0.192
11/23 am  46 5 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 0.142 0.215 0.195
11/23 pm  45 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0.144 0.215 0.196
11/23 pm2  45 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.142 0.212 0.194
11/24 am  44 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.14 0.21 0.191
11/24 pm  44 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.138 0.207 0.189
11/24 pm2  43 3 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0.137 0.208 0.187
11/25 pm2  45 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0.135 0.206 0.185
11/26 am  44 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.137 0.207 0.186
11/26 pm2  45 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.135 0.204 0.183
11/27 pm  45 4 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0.136 0.207 0.184
11/27 pm2  44 5 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0.137 0.206 0.193
11/28 am  43 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.139 0.207 0.194
11/28 pm  43 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0.137 0.205 0.191
11/28 pm2  42 4 1 1 0 0 1 0 2 0.138 0.205 0.195
11/29 pm2  44 3 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0.137 0.206 0.193
11/30 am  43 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.139 0.207 0.194
11/30 pm  43 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.137 0.205 0.192
11/30 pm2  43 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0.139 0.205 0.196
12/1 pm  43 3 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0.14 0.208 0.197
12/2 am  44 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.139 0.206 0.195
12/2 pm  43 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.137 0.204 0.193
12/3 am  44 4 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0.144 0.209 0.201
12/4 am  45 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0.142 0.207 0.199
12/4 pm2  46 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.141 0.207 0.197
12/5 am  45 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0.141 0.207 0.197
12/5 pm  44 5 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 0.142 0.207 0.197
12/5 pm2  43 5 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0.145 0.209 0.2
    339 43 6 0 2   23   0.127 0.195 0.162
12/10/2010 1:20 PM
JFranco77 wins the coveted 'Really-Freaking-Long-Post-of-the-Week' award. Congrats!
12/10/2010 1:33 PM
Posted by Trentonjoe on 12/10/2010 12:53:00 PM (view original):
I don't know if this helps but fielding seems to have a linear decline whereas batting is on a bell curve....

I would avoid playing fatigued position players.
do you know this for a fact? slightly fatigued players have a noticable drop in fielding. if my team is tired I'll run 1 or 2 guys below 90% and tire some bench players so I can keep everyone else at 100% and fielding well. of course DH is the ideal sacrificial lamb. 10-15% may be too extreme, probably better to reduce something else.

i would imagine all categories are reduced by fatigue.
12/10/2010 4:20 PM (edited)
The bell curve thing I am sure about.   They (admin) have said it numerous times.

I am not sure about the fielding penalty.  I think I got it from the forums.   It does appear to  be steep though.
12/10/2010 9:55 PM
Several years ago Tzentmeyer made some comments about fatigue. Of course I couldn't find a copy of this here or in my own notes. What I remember is that he said the effect of stamina on performance was linear to about 50% stamina. He also said that the effect of stamina on performance was about half (50%). So a player whose stamina is 98% or 2% fatigued is 99% effective. His 2% fatigue translates a 1% reduction in effectiveness. A player with stamina of 80%, 20% fatigued, is 90% effective. At stamina 50%, effectiveness is 75%.

He said that when stamina fell below 50% effectiveness fell off more rapidly. I don't believe he indicated how rapidly effectiveness declined or if the decline was linear or non-linear. He made no mention of differential effects of stamina on fielding, hitting, base running, etc.

Does anyone else remember this?
12/11/2010 2:55 AM
I really remember a bell curve.....I remember that they posted a graph of one with fatigue #'s but no y axis values.
12/11/2010 4:46 AM

Here is a real life experiment I did recently.....



  I had a recent progressive team that was out of contention so i did an experiment on how fatigue would affect a catchers defense.I posted his hitting stats also.
The Mulder experiment was just to see how far i could push a starter. I didn't change his PC, it was 90-95 with a pull of 1 from game 80 on.
I'm no expert on how the sim works,but I expected fatigue to take a much bigger hit on performance.
          
                                      
                                              2004 Mark Mulder 

                               G  W-L   IP     era    oav   whip   k/9     bb/9
    RL                          15-9  187    3.13  .259  1.18    6.17    1.93
Game 80   93 (95) 17 4-10  104   5.63  .311  1.49    5.45    1.64
Game 101 65 (67) 25 7-14  155   5.27  .304  1.45    5.04    1.68
Game 123 54 (55) 33 8-18  197   5.84  .311  1.52    4.61    1.82
Game 162 59 (60) 42 8-23  254   5.65  .302  1.48    4.13    2.01

  
 

                                      1924 Gabby Hartnett

                              Pa      hr  rbi  avg  obp  slg
RL                        277       8  39  .268  .347 .442
Game77    ( 92)   155       6  14  .178  .219 .322
Game 123 ( 57)   333     12  40  .215  .261 .373
Game 162  (44)   478     15  59  .207  .259 .350
                                        Fielding
                  Gp   gs  inn  e  te  po    a  dp fpt  sb   cs era   pb
Game 77   36   35  313   2  2   189  13  3 .990  13   7   5.34   1
Game 123 82   81  715   3  3   395  26  6 .993  23  15   5.32  1
Game 162 11 117 1,038 7  5   570  38  7 .989  40  22   5.53  2

12/13/2010 9:11 PM (edited)
cool stuff, this comes in handy... This is the first year I'm running into fatigue issues early in the season. Thanks for everyones input.
12/13/2010 10:53 PM
So if a player is at 98% (1% less effective) and is a .300 actual hitter how many points will his average decline?
12/14/2010 1:23 PM
Posted by chisox378 on 12/14/2010 1:23:00 PM (view original):
So if a player is at 98% (1% less effective) and is a .300 actual hitter how many points will his average decline?
Assuming his AVG# is .300 also, then 1% of .300 is 0.003, so he'd be at .297.
12/14/2010 1:31 PM
Interesting, thank you franco. By the way your boy 86 Julio Franco in my last season had 37 errors  !
12/14/2010 1:46 PM

I agree with jfranco77. If you only look at batting average I would assume that a 1% decline in effectiveness for a .300 hitter would translate to .297. That's about 1.8 hits in 600 ABs so it would be difficult to see the difference or measure it. A five percent decline in effectiveness would make the hitting penalty about the same as letting a right handed hitter bat against a right handed pitcher. WIS has long said this is a negative 5%. With stamina penalties, however, I assume that fielding, base running, etc. are also effected.   

12/15/2010 4:14 AM
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