There certainly is a luck factor in the game, but blaming too much on luck is not wise. When I read the forums, and/or participate in leagues, I am forced to admit that there are managers who understand this game better than I do. There are guys who discover the cookies that the rest of us copy. If you read the posts of guys like boogerlips, zubinsum, grizzlyone, jfranco77, to name just a few, it is obvious they spend a lot more time figuring things out than I do. Our records of success bear this out. The most successful, regardless of salary caps, are the innovators. Sometimes, we imitators have some success, and we figure some things out, and we are able to help those who know even less, but make no mistake about it. Luck plays a very small part in our results.