First no-hitter of the tourney for me...and in the mega-cap clone league, at that.

very, very, very early

A few years ago, I had built a lower-cap team (80M I think) which heavily relied on one of the stud Pedro seasons.  In fact, all my other SPs were significantly worse.  I started the season terribly, falling 10 games below .500.  The main culprit...  Pedro.  He started the season ridiculously bad, as he was something like 0-9 in his first 12 starts.  And it wasn't a good 0-9.  His ERA (over 5) was the worst on my team.  It was inexplicable how the rest of my crappy pitchers were outpitching Pedro and without Pedro, I was about a .500 team.  Second half, he started pitching like I expected him to, quietly winning almost every game he started. And not surprisingly, my crappy pitchers started to regress down to their expectations too.  The team barely missed the playoffs, finishing with around 84-85 wins. Pedro's final numbers were something like 18-12 with an ERA in the high 2's. 

I know that exp. win% isn't perfect, but I think it can indicate if your team is under performing or over performing.  Here are my teams actual win% and exp. win %

               Actual          Expected

$70        0.538           0.512
$80        0.615           0.592
$90        0.500           0.614
$100      0.462           0.612
$110      0.538           0.644
$120      0.423           0.558

I keep hoping that my higher cap teams snap out of their funk and start winning some more.

Just noticed that in the Silver King league my 2011 Jose Reyes is sporting a slug % of ,517 (ish i forgot it) and is the highest on my team out doing Jim Edmonds, Mickey Mantle, Frank Robinson and so on.   Gonna take the same answer as givin for the dippencrack's post.   It's too early

Woo-hoo, I know after this brag I'll go down in flames, but right now I have exactly zero anchors weighing me down. 4 teams at exactly .500 and then the $70 mil Yankees (blarg) and the $100 mil '95 squad are both doing quite well. Unfortunately, upon further research a lot of my wins have been against cellar dweller teams. So not sure where exactly we stand. But very exciting to be 28 games in and have all six teams at .500 or better.

Stat I'm proud of: I tried the all HR lineup for the Silver King league in Yankee III. We have 46 HR, the #2 team in the league has 23, exactly half my squad's total.

And my first sweep is one of losses.  Excellent.  Right out of the cage with that one I'm sure...

8/15 pm2 mauch followed by 8/16 am schwarze.

Following up on my first losing day (2-4, 2-4, 3-3; 5 of the 11 losses were in extra innings), I start off the AM cycle with my worst cycle of the tourney (1-5; 1 in extras). Looks like the wheels have fallen off the bus...

Just noticed, my only team with a losing record is 0-8 in extra inning games, so far. That's right, 8 of our first 34 games have gone extra innings and we've lost all of them. Average team in the league has played 3 extra inning games. Extra inning games have quite literally ruined this team's record. And amazingly, this team's strength is it's bullpen: with the best seasons of Rob Nen, Chris Hammond, Mark Hutton, Matt Mantei, and Rick Helling (his 27 inning wonder season) all in the bullpen.  But their stats are horrible so far (Helling has a 1.65 WHIP over 7 IP,  Mantei has a 3.33 over 9 IP, Hutton has a 2.50 after 10 IP, and Miguel Batista with a 1.24 RL WHIP is sitting at a 2.63 after 19 IP).

[dippedincrack, that's the other difference between your and calhoop's teams, he's 4-0 in extras and you're 0-5.]

My $110M and $120M are both at .500 in 1-run games, 11-11 combined.  The other four are a combined 8-27.

Posted by toddcommish on 8/17/2012 3:26:00 PM (view original):

Here's a fun fact.  At this point in the season, ALL SIX OF MY TEAMS are below their Pythagorean records.  In fact, the average underperformance is a full 78 percentage points behind the Pythagorean win %, or roughly 2.73 games behind where they "should be".

In a tournament of 96 players, one or two owners could be expected to have all six teams underperforming.  And this year... it's me.

One or TWO.  That 2nd person would be me...

My team in the $100M league is slugging .130+ points below their real life SLG. That really surprises me in a higher cap league.

Just looked at my pythags - I have some freakish variances.

               Actual      Exp.
$70M -   .525        .425
$80M -   .625        .600
$90M -   .575        .587
$100M-  .450        .380
$110M-  .500        .645
$120M-  .450        .491

Through 40 games, my $70M team is already 4 wins better than expected, and my $110M team is 5 wins worse than expected.