Posted by gregsimon on 10/14/2012 8:56:00 PM (view original):
Simply may be of interest to some:
Cincy is 5-0 with 2 of their 5 wins vs FCS schools, and they have yet to play a game on the road. Ithink they are going to fall from the ranks of the undefeated pretty soon, and I think Louisville is better and more deserving than the Bearcats at this point.
Cincy travels to Toledo next week and then to Louisville the following week, I expect them to lose to Louisville, though they might get by Toledo who hasn't really beaten anyone of note.
Mississippi St has beaten Auburn and Tennessee, I don't know which is more "impressive", but one of those two is their signature win so far this season. They have MTSU next week followed by a 3 game stretch where they will likely go 0-3. On the road at Alabama, home vs A&M and then on the road vs LSU.
Rutgers could very well win out. They have cupcakes for the most part (Temple, Kent St and Army) before ending with a 3 game stretch that begins on the road vs Cincinnati and Pitt and then returning home for their finale vs Louisville (likely with the Big East title on the line).
Notre Dame seems to be for real. They have a defense better than most in the country, and a schedule that can definitely allow them the opportunity to play for all the marbles come January. They play BYU next week. Then they travel to Norman and if they beat Oklahoma will be all but guaranteed a BCS game. Not a bunch of great teams on their schedule (Pitt, BC, WF) afterwards, but they do end the season AT USC. So definitely a solid schedule considering they've already beaten Michigan, Michigan St and Stanford.
Oregon St is 5-0 with 4 of those Ws coming against teams that are .500 or better. They still have games vs Arizona St, AT Stanford and vs Oregon, so they are definitely a legitimate team still in the hunt.
Cincy - Louisville play each other so that will decide that
Miss St -- will be losing really soon. They might be able to go 10-2, but I think end up 9-3.
Rutgers - part of the Big Least, will play UC and UL to decide that conference
Notre Dame - their SOS is their biggest vulnerability. what once looked great on paper could haunt them at the end of the season. ND has to beat USC or OK to guarantee a BCS spot, 2 losses and they will need some luck. If ND runs the table they will need some luck as well.
Oregon St - I think they are the biggest enigma in college football right now, nobody really knows what to think. But they will get their chances in conference play