Posted by ncmusician_7 on 3/26/2013 12:07:00 AM (view original):
natenoy, use FGA+(0.44*FTA)+TO when comparing real life to sim possessions. It's about a 14% increase for Faried.
nc, what's the validity of using fta's? In the PPL my RL fta/48 was 33.48, but the sim gave me 26.42 fta/48 , that's a 21.1% decrease from RL (and that's without weighing the RL average which would be higher since Wade and my other better players got most of thier RL minutes). Wade himself had 564 in the sim v. 803 RL (a 29.76% drop) but did have 151 more fga's (a 10.69% bump).
Non weighted FGA/p48 was 92.27pg, sim result was 96.00pg (4.1% bump) and to's went from 16.66 RL to 19.62 in the sim (17.66% increase).
FGA+(.44*FTA)+TO was 123.68 RL (again non weighted though) compared to 127.25 sim (2.89% increase, but would be lower if I weighed RL numbers).
In general fta's are 20-25% lower than RL correct? But there is variation based on fouls for the other teams etc. We have fewer foul machines than in RL so I can see why we would have a drop in the sim, also we have a higher number of guys that took high %'s of thier team's RL fta's (we don't have the guys that committed fouls nor the guys that never got to the line in RL) so our totals are lower. So if our teams have guys that add up to something like 150% of thier team's RL fta's something has to give, especially when there are fewer fouls being committed than in RL.