I concede that my two most recent draft teams were horrible. My last ODL team was fatally flawed because I had a rotation that was completely devoid of an adequate assist rate, so my guys under-performed their RL efg’s. My Wilt for 50ppg team was flawed because the overall D was far too weak.
However, this squad has addressed the issues of my previous two drafts. I drafted almost 2,500 RL assists, giving me a weighted assist rate of .6525 or 31.3 per 48mpg. My weighted ast% is 73.1% if you are in the camp that ast% drives efg% and not assist rate. Starting rotation 68.5% ast% and rate over .60, and when Art Williams plays his 18mpg this balloons as high as a 90%+ ast% and a .86 assist rate. My starting lineup has a creb of over 128.
The weighted average of my D is 69.27, with a starting lineup of 71.6 D ave. My fouls are 1439 in 19,140 minutes for a rate of .075. Yes, that is a tad shy on minutes, but Wilt can go for 48mpg most of the season and with the “clear the bench” option in blowouts his fatigue level should remain in-check.
And all of the above is nothing more than the gravy on top of the true strength of this squad. RL arc shooting of 767 for 1891 or 40.6%. RL fg of 3534 for 7055, or 50.1%, so if my shooting mirrored RL my efg would be 55.5%. However, my kicker is that Wilt accounts for over 19% of my RL possessions, and he will hit close to 70% (and should be closer to 75-80% when Art Williams is on the court). So, Wilt will be in the ballpark of 16 to 18 fga per game, not to mention the fouls he will manage to draw.
My PER% is close to 27% at a 40% rate, so +3 is the natural way to defend my squad. But what will Wilt do against a +3 setting?
All I can say is that any team lucky enough to land Wilt (and smart enough to use the correct version) should NEVER be ranked 1st on anyone’s board in the division draft, regardless of his recent success or lack thereof.
But I am pretty happy about this division. Should be very competitive, no one I expect to lose 6+ times to, but no one I expect to flat out dominate either.
9/28/2013 3:30 AM (edited)