M. Tanaka Topic

1/28/2014 2:18 PM
Posted by MikeT23 on 1/28/2014 2:15:00 PM (view original):
I'll take Vegas Insider over both those *****.

Team Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers 11/2
Detroit Tigers 7/1
St Louis Cardinals 9/1
Washington Nationals 9/1
Boston Red Sox 12/1
Tampa Bay Rays 13/1
Atlanta Braves 15/1
Cincinnati Reds 15/1
Los Angeles Angels 15/1
Texas Rangers 17/1
San Francisco Giants 17/1
Oakland Athletics 17/1
New York Yankees 20/1
Pittsburgh Pirates 25/1
Seattle Mariners 30/1
Philadelphia Phillies 30/1
Toronto Blue Jays 35/1
Chicago White Sox 35/1
Baltimore Orioles 35/1
Kansas City Royals 35/1
Arizona Diamondbacks 40/1
Cleveland Indians 40/1
Chicago Cubs 60/1
Milwaukee Brewers 70/1
Colorado Rockies 70/1
San Diego Padres 70/1
New York Mets 80/1
Miami Marlins 80/1
Minnesota Twins 100/1
Houston Astros 200/1
Vegas sets their lines based on expected betting behaviors, not on what they think will actually happen. Essentially, you're crowd sourcing for those predictions and, as you've pointed out many times, crowds tend to be dumb.


1/28/2014 2:20 PM
For example, the 2013 futures odds on both the Blue Jays and the Angels were something like 9/1.
1/28/2014 2:23 PM
Posted by bad_luck on 1/28/2014 2:18:00 PM (view original):
This guy???

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Hemphill_(comedian)
Nope.  He's a baseball guy.
1/28/2014 2:33 PM
Well aware of how Vegas lines work.  And that they're often closer to correct than pretty much anyone else.

Care to tell us where Davenport had Blue Jays/Angels ranked last season?    Because I'm almost certain damn near everyone was picking both of them to run away with their divisions.
1/28/2014 2:35 PM
You're right, he had the Jays winning 86 and the Angels winning 91.
1/28/2014 2:50 PM
Posted by tecwrg on 1/28/2014 2:33:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 1/28/2014 2:18:00 PM (view original):
This guy???

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Hemphill_(comedian)
Nope.  He's a baseball guy.
Never heard of him.
1/28/2014 2:50 PM
That's OK.  He's probably never heard of you, either.
1/28/2014 2:53 PM
Looked good thru two and blew up in the 3rd.    ARod coming to the plate.
4/6/2015 1:59 PM
Posted by MikeT23 on 4/6/2015 1:59:00 PM (view original):
Looked good thru two and blew up in the 3rd.    ARod coming to the plate.
Pitching with a blown UCL is hard.
4/6/2015 2:33 PM
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M. Tanaka Topic

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