Posted by tecwrg on 2/12/2014 5:31:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 2/12/2014 5:09:00 PM (view original):
It was an incomplete explanation.
2 runners on and Jay Buhner up is more advantageous than 1 runner on and Edgar Martinez up.
Do you disagree?
Except that wasn't the situation I posted, is it?
"If the expected runs for a given state (outs and men on base) is .324 runs, does it matter if Edgar Martinez or Mario Mendoza is batting?"
So it's the same state (outs and men on base) for two different batters. Not one state for EM, and a different state for MM.
And you answered "I don't think it makes a difference. Blah blah blah."
Thus proving you're utterly retarded.
I was wrong about that, I answered without thinking through what you were actually asking. I can admit that.
Given the same base/out state, obviously you're better off with a better hitter. Otherwise a lineup full of 260/330/390 hitters would score as much as a lineup full of 260/360/390 hitters, and we know they wouldn't.
But that's irrelevant to the topic of Martinez and his walks. Because the value of his (and everyone's) walks come from adding runners and avoiding outs, changing the out/runner state.