Posted by bad_luck on 2/1/2016 10:13:00 PM (view original):
Posted by moy23 on 2/1/2016 10:09:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 2/1/2016 10:06:00 PM (view original):
Trump is fuuuuuuucked if he doesn't win.
if things stayed the same - Cruz 9 delegates, Trump 8, Rubio 7. Trump way up in NH, SC, etc. He wasn't supposed to kill in IA because of evangelicals.
Getting beat will take a lot of wind out of his sails. His polling was overinflated.
huh? The latest IA polls had Trump at 28%, Cruz at 23%, Rubio 15%. Recent polls before this one had Trump behind Cruz. IA was close for Trump/Cruz. Trump needed a 1 or 2 in IA and move on to NH where he's at 45%+ in polls, and Cruz hasn't polled well. He got that. The surprise is Rubio in IA (but the fact that 63% of IA voters are going anti-establishment is a bit deflating for him).