Posted by bad_luck on 2/1/2016 10:57:00 PM (view original):

Posted by moy23 on 1/24/2016 2:01:00 PM (view original):
Trump bests Ted Cruz in Iowa and now receives 34 percent support among Republican caucus-goers. Trump was at 23 percent in the Fox News Poll two weeks ago (January 4-7).

Cruz is second with 23 percent -- down a touch from 27 percent. Marco Rubio comes in third with 12 percent, down from 15 percent. No others garner double-digit support.

Haha

just proves trump is right again - FOX News is unreliable.

Let's not overlook Hillary's problems.

I'm really not concerned about Trump. He did what he needed to tonight. Its a long process. I would be concerned if he lost NH. That's a state hes been leading big time for a long long time (see below). Rubio got a couple endorsements in SC which could make that state interesting if endorsements even matter these days.










As of Feb 1:


According to RealClearPolitics polling averages, Trump has an 21.7-point lead with 33.2 percent of the vote, followed by Cruz and Kasich tied at 11.5, Jeb Bush at 10.3 and Rubio at 9.5.


New Hampshire Polling Averages (by RealClearPolitics)

Donald Trump: 31.3%
John Kasich: 11.5%
Ted Cruz: 11.5%
Jeb Bush: 10.3%
Marco Rubio: 9.5%


FiveThirtyEight’s polls-plus forecast gives Trump a 61 percent chance to win New Hampshire, with Cruz at 14 percent and Rubio at 10. Their polls-only forecast bumps Trump to 73 percent, with no one else in double digits.

FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast

Donald Trump: 61%
Ted Cruz: 14%
Marco Rubio: 10%


In the PredictWise betting averages, Trump holds fairly steady at 67 percent, with Marco Rubio at 11.

Iowa GOP officials expressed concerns Sunday that the lack of predictive power in the state caucus may lead to Iowa being bumped further down the primary schedule. Every GOP nominee since 2000 has done so without winning Iowa

Posted by The Taint on 2/1/2016 11:46:00 PM (view original):
Let’s check in on something that we haven’t touched on in a bit: GOP delegate math. If current results hold up, Cruz will win 8 delegates, Trump and Rubio 7 delegates each. By our estimates, Cruz and Trump needed 12 to be “on track” for the nomination, and Rubio needed 10. Granted, Iowa accounts for just 1.2 percent of all delegates to the GOP convention. However, so far Rubio is 70 percent on track, Cruz is 67 percent on track, and Trump is only 58 percent on track.


Also from 538

That's akin to saying the Chicago Bulls are up 4-2, 2:00 minutes into the first quarter of the game. You'll need a bigger sample size.

bernie looks like he's going to keel over on the stump. 74 years old. yikes! I do love that 50% of democrats in IA are anti-establishment and fed up with Washington.

...and the Democrat winner is Sanders....



..no wait Hilliary is luckier than Bill Belicheat! 

HILLARY!!!!!!!

Posted by bronxcheer on 2/2/2016 6:24:00 AM (view original):
FIXED NEWS REALLY PUSHING RUBIO. HE WON BY FINISHING 3RD! THEY SHOWED MORE OF HIM THAN RAFAEL CRUZ! WHO FINISHED 2ND, DR, CARSON?

SHEEP

CUNNT TV AND PMSNBC FOCUS ON THE REPUBLICANS!  ALL DAY LONG!  24/7!  DEMONAZI SOCIALISTS ARE BORING! 

LIBERAL TV CAN ONLY TALK REPUBLICAN BECAUSE THAT IS RATINGS AND EXCITING!

LIBERAL TV IGNORES THEIR OWN SAD SACKS!  OLD MAN VS OLD WOMAN!  OLD WHITE PEOPLE FIGHTING!

OLD WHITE PEOPLE CHEATING AND TRYING TO STAY OUT OF JAIL!

GOATS 

Iowans are apparently stupid for voting for Hillary to win..

Then again, I'd probably say the same had they voted for Sanders to win.