I'm just sayin':
1. Bill Clinton is elected in the midst of a recession and industrial collapse, promises to work on jobs ("Focus on the economy like a laser, it's the economy stupid" etc.), gets in, does stuff banks want instead and his first legislative initiative is health care reform, which he turns over to the First Lady, Hillary Clinton to work on. It is incredibly complicated, instead of the simply systems they have in other countries (you pay taxes, you pay no health insurance anymore, you go to the doctor), and fails in Congress. The legislative process results in hard feelings all around, undermines his presidency and with the economic policies that are seen as anti-full employment (NAFTA), the Democrats lose control of the House of Representatives which they had held for all but two years from 1932-1994.
2. Barack Obama is elected in the midst of the worst recession since the 1930s, promises New Deal-like jobs programs, does keep the economy afloat with deficit spending but does not focus the money on full employment creation, infrastructure etc. and instead his first big legislative initiative is health care.It is incredibly complicated but does just pass the Congress, but the legislative process leaves hard feelings all around, and along with doing stuff that helps banks and globalization policies perceived to be anti-full employment, the Democrats lose the House which they had gotten control of again in 2006 in the wake of the Iraq War policies of Bush II and his letting New Orleans go under water like some ancient Pharaoh watching the Nile overflow its banks as a work of the gods.
3. Donald Trump gets elected in the midst of officially better, but in fact worrying jobs concerns - lack of growth in wages over decades, de-industrialization continued into its fourth decade, five million men out of the workforce, promising to reverse the globalization and free trade policies of predecessors and to create jobs in America again. His first big legislative initiative is health care "reform" - it is incredibly complex, fails in the Congress, leaves hard feelings all around and the rest of his policies do not (at least as yet) include the jobs/infrastructure promises made in the campaign, but rather policies, like tax cuts for business and the rich that will weaken workers' bargaining position or increase inequality and have no positive impact on jobs.
Two observations:
1. I would be my money on the Republicans losing the House based on precedents.
2. Who woulda thunk that Trump, whatever errors you thought he would make, the would make the SAME ONE that Bill Clinton, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama made?