Posted by MikeT23 on 5/15/2016 3:08:00 PM (view original):
As more people decide to punt the draft, more people will benefit from the draft. Less competition, better results.
I, for one, have no problem with the way things are currently. I've missed on a few but, by and large, I'm still getting quality from the draft. Sometimes, my 2nd rounder is better than my supplemental pick but, really, isn't that what we asked for?
Agree.
1) Major league prospects aren't going undrafted. So the net benefit from the draft to a world under fuzzy projections is, by definition, the same as it was under less fuzzy projections.
2) Projections, when inaccurate, are WAY more likely to be inaccurate high than low.
So what's happening under the new approach is that you're seeing more inaccurate, and therefore higher, projections on all draftees, but they're the same old draftees. So you feel like you're getting screwed-- but you're not. You're just suffering from falsely elevate expectations.
In response to this, you can either lower your expectations, or bail on the draft. If you bail on the draft, everyone who doesn't will start kicking your *** in the draft, because you'll see fewer players.
There are some real reasons to bail on the draft, or internationals. But those reasons haven't changed with the new fuzzy projections.