Hatroq -- In my opinion, Its a cascading effect I am always in the same boat you are in 1-A. I have everyone green, night before comes and....Bang 4 or 5 of my "primary recruits" are now yellow and (in my estimation only) already " leaning" toward those major (not elite) programs and I am helpless to change it after Accepted Frosh, playing time guarantee, 5/5 CV/HC per cycle, etc. have all be given and accepted. Now I am stuck having to move "down the ladder" to avoid the dreaded SIMMY signings.
My two cents: Having gone through this exact process in real life, I will tell you that if Notre Dame knocked on my door at the last minute, I would have taken it. Other than the Ivies, no 1AA school had any chance over 1A. However, some DIIIs actually had MORE of a chance than most/all DIAA. This, of course is not reflected in the current version of the game.