So it looks like preferences are about dead even.
In 2.0, A+ to B would be an advantage of roughly 50%.
So, just multiplying that out, Wisconsin would have
30 HVs vs 20
1.5 CVs vs 1
502 APs vs 550
(I don't know how much of a difference 20 minutes vs 15 makes, so call it a wash)
I don't know how to translate HVs to CVs to APs, so let's throw out a couple guesses and see how they work.
100 APs = 1 HV
1 CV = 2.5 HVs
Doing that and then converting everything to HVs, we get:
Wisconsin: 38 HVs
Minnesota: 28 HVs
Or, in percentages, a 58/42 battle, which should be very high vs high. So this end result is what we should expect.
However, I do think mully has a good question regarding promises potentially being too powerful, especially given the lack of playing time preference here. Before Wisconsin's offer, were both teams VH, or was it just Minnesota? If it's just Minnesota, then promises seem to be WAAAAAAAY too powerful--powerful enough to make up for 10+ HVs. If both were VH, that makes more sense.