Posted by skunk206 on 1/24/2017 4:58:00 PM (view original):
When the SIM determines the outcome of a PA, it will at one point determine if the PA resulted in a hit or an out. In that case, hit does not mean single. It just means a hit of some type. The individual batter hit rates modified by the park effects (with some vague influence by the pitcher, I think) then determine what type of hit occurred. So a +3 for doubles does not strictly turn singles into doubles at some fixed percentage. At the point the type of hit is determined though, it does of course increase the chance that a double is the resulting hit type.
Skunk's last sentence is exactly why you want to emphasize doubles hitters at Sportman's.
I just won a $130m TOC using a "doubles at Sportsman's" philosophy using guys like '95 Thompson, '01 Anderson, '78 Rose, '75 Lynn, '16 Daniel Murphy, and part timers like '05 Winn and '99 Shumpert .